How many seats will the AfD party win in the 2/23/2025 German federal elections (to elect the 21st Bundestag)?

Howe many seats will the AfD party win in the 2/23/2025 German federal elections (to elect the 21st Bundestag)?

afD = Alternative für Deutschland (Alternative for Germany)

I will use major news sources to expire the market. If the election is not held on 2/23 and/or official and final results are not released in a timely matter than the "Other" outcome will occur.

There are 630 seats in the Bundestag.

Background:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_German_federal_election
https://yougov.co.uk/international/articles/51394-first-yougov-mrp-model-of-the-2025-german-election-shows-gains-for-right
https://www.robert-schuman.eu/en/monitor/6461-alternative-for-germany-could-make-a-major-breakthrough-in-the-federal-elections-on-february-23-in-which-christian-democratic-union-remains-the-favourite
https://www.abnamro.com/research/en/our-research/preview-german-elections-grand-coalition-most-likely-result
https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-wins-2nd-most-seats-in-german-election/will-afd-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-next-german-election
https://polymarket.com/event/afd-of-vote-in-german-election?tid=1738530794446
https://kalshi.com/markets/kxafdpercent/afd-

Ordered answer scale

• 1. (7.00%) <50
• 2. (10.00%) [50,100)
• 3. (30.00%) [100,150)
• 4. (30.00%) [150,200)
• 5. (9.00%) [200,250)
• 6. (7.00%) >=250
• 7. (7.00%) Other