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What will be the US life expectancy in 2047?

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  • Modification proposal 2 declined on 2017/03/22 11:17:02

    We need to have a reasonable date to determine an answer before many of us are no longer around!

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    Question
    What will be the US life expectancy in 2047?
    Judgement rule
    The outcome will be determined by the official Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) records for the year 2047.
    For refernce, current link here shows a life expectancy of 78.8 years:
    https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/life-expectancy.htm
    The outcome will be determined by an extrapolation of data for 2015-2017 from the official Center for Disease Control and Prevention records.
    For refernce, current link here shows a life expectancy of 78.8 years:
    https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/life-expectancy.…
    Question type
    Ordered answer scale
    Answers
    • 1. (16.67%) > 150
    • 2. (16.67%) 120-150
    • 3. (16.67%) 100-120
    • 4. (16.67%) 90-100
    • 5. (16.67%) 80-90
    • 6. (16.67%) < 80
    Time zone
    America/New_York
    Reference date:
    2047/12/31 24:00
    Result expected on
    2047/12/31 24:00
    Trading session (optional):
      until  
  • Profile picture
    Anonymous
    Modification proposal 1 accepted on 2017/01/03 03:44:15

    Fixed the mismatch of years in the judgement rule and the reference date and time zone for US accordingly. Changed type to answer scale. Removed irrelevant answer.

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    Question
    What will be the US life expectancy in 2047?
    Judgement rule
    The outcome will be determined by the official Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) records for the year 2046.
    For refernce, current link here shows a life expectancy of 78.8 years:
    https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/life-expectancy.htm
    The outcome will be determined by the official Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) records for the year 2047.
    For refernce, current link here shows a life expectancy of 78.8 years:
    https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/life-expectancy.…
    Question type
    Unordered alternatives
    Ordered answer scale
    Answers
    • 1. (14.29%) > 150
    • 2. (14.29%) 120-150
    • 3. (14.29%) 100-120
    • 4. (14.29%) 90-100
    • 5. (14.29%) 80-90
    • 6. <80 (14.29%) < 80
    • Inconclusive
    Time zone
    Asia/Jerusalem
    America/New_York
    Reference date:
    2047/01/01 24:00
    2047/12/31 24:00
    Result expected on
    2047/01/01 24:00
    2047/12/31 24:00
    Trading session (optional):
      until  
  • New question proposed accepted on 2017/01/02 19:00:57
    Profile picture
    
        
    or cancel

    Question
    What will be the US life expectancy in 2047?
    Judgement rule
    The outcome will be determined by the official Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) records for the year 2046.
    For refernce, current link here shows a life expectancy of 78.8 years:
    https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/life-expectancy.htm
    Question type
    Unordered alternatives
    Answers
    • (14.29%) > 150
    • (14.29%) 120-150
    • (14.29%) 100-120
    • (14.29%) 90-100
    • (14.29%) 80-90
    • (14.29%) <80
    • (14.29%) Inconclusive
    Time zone
    Asia/Jerusalem
    Reference date:
    2047/01/01 24:00
    Result expected on
    2047/01/01 24:00
    Trading session (optional):
      until