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Will Donald Trump be re-elected in 2020 election?

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<body>Poll of the week: A new <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/trump-trails-biden-warren-sanders-new-nbc-news-wall-street-n1029646" target="_blank">NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll</a> finds that <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2013/07/04/us/donald-trump-fast-facts/index.html" target="_blank">President Donald Trump's approval</a> rating among voters nationwide is 45%. His disapproval rating is 52%. This makes for a net approval (approval - disapproval) of -7 points.
The <a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/voters/" target="_blank">average poll </a>has Trump's net approval among voters at -9 points.
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What's the point: <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2019/07/08/politics/donald-trump-2020-electability-washington-post-abc-poll/index.html" target="_blank">Trump's 2020 strategy</a> seemed to be in full swing this past week. He looks to be <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2019/07/16/politics/republicans-who-criticize-trump-immigration-analysis/index.html" target="_blank">doubling down</a> on a campaign of hardline immigration policies and racial resentment. Trump lashed out in a racist Twitter tirade, telling four " 'Progressive' Democrat Congresswomen [to...] go back and help fix the totally broken and crime infested places from which they came."
The <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2019/07/12/politics/donald-trump-immigration-social-media-conservatives-2020-election/index.html" target="_blank">Trump strategy is pretty simple</a>: 1. Drive up the unfavorable ratings of his Democratic rival as he did in 2016 in order to compensate for his own low ratings. 2. Bank on an electoral college/popular vote split as he did in 2016. 3. Use a campaign of racial resentment to drive up turnout even more among groups favorable toward the President.
The potentially pivotal state in the electoral college may be 4 to 5 points more Republican than the nation as a whole in 2020. This means the opportunity for an electoral college/popular vote split in Trump's favor remains quite plausible.
<img alt="Risultati immagini per donald trump reelected graph 2019" height="454" src="http://econbrowser.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/538polls_3may19.png" width="548"/>
 
 
 
New York Times article:
<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/us/politics/2020-presidential-candidates.html">https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/us/politics/2020-presidential-candidates.html</a>
Donald Trump speech:
<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YKS7nwkn4FI">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YKS7nwkn4FI</a>
 
 
 
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