Modification proposals - Will Ethereum surpass Bitcoin in market capitalization in 2016?

Tim Hoerner

Modification proposal 2 declined on 2016/04/23 20:30:58

Changed from "will be" to "will have been" so that the answer resolves to YES if the market cap is higher at any time before January 1st 2017. As it was previously written, the answer will resolve to NO if market cap was higher prior to January 1st 2017, but is not as high *on* January 1st 2017.
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Changed from "will be" to "will have been" so that the answer resolves to YES if the market cap is higher at any time before January 1st 2017. As it was previously written, the answer will resolve to NO if market cap was higher prior to January 1st 2017, but is not as high *on* January 1st 2017.
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- 8 years ago
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- Roland Kofler
  
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  Topic Management
  
  It does not resolve the fundamental problem: short spikes. Probably we have to say something like "higher for 10 consecutive days".
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Question

Will Ethereum surpass Bitcoin in market capitalization in 2016?

Judgement rule

As of 1th January 2017, will Ethereum market capitalization be higher than Bitcoin?
Data source shall be:

https://coinmarketcap.com

As of 1st January 2017, will Ethereum's market capitalization have been higher than Bitcoin's?

Data source shall be: https://coinmarketcap.com

Question type

Two alternatives

Answers

(50.00%) Yes

(50.00%) No

Time zone

Europe/Rome

Reference date:

2017/01/01 00:01

Result expected on

2017/01/05 24:00

Trading session (optional):

until
Supported

0.00% Yes

0.00% No

0.00% Participation
Roland Kofler

Modification proposal 1 accepted on 2016/04/20 11:34:12

- refining question
- eliminating condition of website dysfunction - this is factored alread in by Predikti
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- refining question - eliminating condition of website dysfunction - this is factored alread in by Predikti
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- 8 years ago
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Question

Will Ethereum surpass Bitcoin in market capitalization in 2016?

Judgement rule

If by the end of 2016 there was one point in time when Ethereum market capitalization has surpassed Bitcoin's, then the answer should be considered true.
Data source shall be: https://coinmarketcap.com
If the data source does not exist anymore before the deadline, the true answer is considered NO.

As of 1th January 2017, will Ethereum market capitalization be higher than Bitcoin?
Data source shall be:

https://coinmarketcap.com

Question type

Two alternatives

Answers

(50.00%) Yes

(50.00%) No

Time zone

Europe/Rome

Reference date:

2017/01/01 00:01

Result expected on

2017/01/05 24:00

Trading session (optional):

until
No support required

No voting required
Roland Kofler

New question proposed obsolete on 2016/04/20 11:34:12
- 8 years ago
- Reply
or cancel
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Preview
Question

Will Ethereum surpass Bitcoin in market capitalization in 2016?

Judgement rule

If by the end of 2016 there was one point in time when Ethereum market capitalization has surpassed Bitcoin's, then the answer should be considered true.
Data source shall be: https://coinmarketcap.com
If the data source does not exist anymore before the deadline, the true answer is considered NO.

Question type

Two alternatives

Answers

(50.00%) Yes

(50.00%) No

Time zone

Europe/Rome

Reference date:

2017/01/01 00:01

Result expected on

2017/01/05 24:00

Trading session (optional):

until
No support required

No voting required

Modification proposal or Copy question