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Will the US federal government shutdown end this semester?

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  • New question proposed accepted on 2025/10/31 14:28:56
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    Question
    Will the US federal government shutdown end this semester?
    Judgement rule
    This market will resolve to YES only if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.

    Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.

    The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).

    I may need to back-date the expiry time to the time at which this is first announced.
    Question type
    Two alternatives
    Answers
    • (65.00%) Yes
    • (35.00%) No
    Time zone
    America/New_York
    Reference date:
    2025/12/05 24:00
    Result expected on
    2025/12/05 24:00
    Trading session (optional):
      until   2025/12/06 24:00