Will the US federal government shutdown end this semester?
Settlement proposals
Please check if any final result proposed here has really happened. Is there a reliable source for this information? Is the proposed cut-off date before the time when the final result became certain beyond reasonable doubt? Did the trader proposing the final result refrain from cheating with quick last trades? If these checks are positive, please vote "Yes" for settlement else "No".
§ Judgement rule
This market will resolve to YES only if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
I may need to back-date the expiry time to the time at which this is first announced.
Reference date:
Dec. 5, 2025, 24:00 EST
No result proposals yet
Propose final result (trigger settlement)
Is the final result now certain? If so, please enter a proposal to settle this question, citing the source of your information. In any case, make sure to enter the date and time when this result was beyond reasonable doubt to ensure a fair settlement.