Question
Will the US unemployment rate in November exceed 4.5%?
Judgement rule
We will use the BLS Employment Situation report (scheduled for release Dec. 05, 2025 08:30 AM) as our source.
Notes:
- if it is exactly 4.5% than this will expire as "No"
- if the BLS site does not list the result, we will use a major media site
- if the BLS does not issue the report (say because of a government shutdown this will expire as "Other")
H/T Kailey for suggesting this market
sources:
https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/empsit.htm
https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.toc.htm
Unordered alternatives
until
2025/12/04 24:00
New question proposed accepted on 2025/11/06 19:10:12