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Incentive settlement "with result"
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Summary
Produces the most objective and precise predictions. But participants have to wait for their money till the outcome is certain.
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== Settlement method == Settlement with the final result means that settlement can occur once the outcome of a future question was determined in the real world. All trades "for" the one winning answer will be judged at a win paying 1 credit per share, trades for all other answers pay nothing, as do trades "against" the correct answer. Logically, trades against all other answers will also pay 1 credit per share as these answers did, in fact, not happen. == Advantages and disadvantages == Pro * Users will give their most objective prediction, firmly rooted in expected reality. * Prices converge rapidly, right to the last traders' own expected likelihood of an answer. Con * Less motivating for long term questions (for the same incentive amount) running longer than one to three months. It is highly advisable to provide larger incentives to long running questions.
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