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Judgement rule

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Summary

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The precise definition of the objective facts or criteria which indicate the final result of a prediction question.

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What is the judgement rule on Prediki?

The judgement rule describes a future event or an identifying fact that objectively establishes the final outcome of a prediction question.

What is the consequence of the judgement rule?

A soon as the final outcome of a Prediki question has been determined in accordance with the judgement rule, all active incentives (prize monies) will be settled, regardless if for final or for immediate settlement after the (still ongoing) incentive period.

Who is subject to the judgement rule?

Before trading in a Prediki question, every user must first accept the judgement rule.

How does Prediki ensure the compliance with a judgement rule?

Any participant may propose a final judgement of a Prediki question, thereby triggering a democratic process. All traders of that question receive voting rights in relation to their open investment at the time of the proposal.

Can the judgement rule be modified?

The judgement rule can be modified in a democratic process following the supported proposal of any participant. All traders of that question receive voting rights in relation to their open investment at the time of the proposal.

Note for advanced Predikians only

  • If the uncertain event will occur only in the future, the prediction question is a prognosis.
  • If the uncertainty occurred in the past but an objective proof has not yet been ascertained, it is an epignosis.