What will the court rule in the case of Oscar Pistorius, the Blade Runner, who shot and killed his girlfriend?

Settlement proposals

Please check if any final result proposed here has really happened. Is there a reliable source for this information? Is the proposed cut-off date before the time when the final result became certain beyond reasonable doubt? Did the trader proposing the final result refrain from cheating with quick last trades? If these checks are positive, please vote "Yes" for settlement else "No".

§ Judgement rule

First trial result, before any appeals, after bail hearing. If convicted of multiple charges, the one carrying the highest prison term will be judged as the Final Answer.

Jeff F.,

Proposed result 9 declined on 2014/10/24 16:23:52

Proposed result:

Manslaughter

Trading cut-off:

2014/10/24 09:12:10

http://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2014/oct/21… ...more

http://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2014/oct/21/oscar-pistorius-sentencing-prison-live#block-54462730e4b0f39f234da268
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- 10 years ago
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- Anonymous
  
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  There is already a result proposal for "manslaughter" with the correct cut-off/settlement day from almost 3 days ago. Voting will close in 6 hours. Just vote Yes for that one.
  
  PS: A wrong cut-off day would allow participants to profit in full knowledge of the final result, so that's no good.
  ...more
  
  10 years ago
  
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- Needs owner support
- 0.00% Yes
- 0.00% No
- 0.00% Participation
Jeff F.,

Proposed result 8 declined on 2014/10/24 16:23:52

Proposed result:

Manslaughter

Trading cut-off:

2014/10/24 09:10:00

http://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2014/oct/21… ...more

http://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2014/oct/21/oscar-pistorius-sentencing-prison-live#block-54462730e4b0f39f234da268
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- 10 years ago
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- Supported
- 0.00% Yes
- 0.00% No
- 0.00% Participation
John Yeadon,

Proposed result 7 accepted on 2014/10/24 16:23:52

Proposed result:

Manslaughter

Trading cut-off:

2014/10/21 15:11:12

http://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2014/oct/21… http://www.independent.co.uk/news/people/live/osc… ...more

http://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2014/oct/21/oscar-pistorius-sentencing-prison-live http://www.independent.co.uk/news/people/live/oscar-pistorius-sentenced-live-athlete-to-find-out-if-he-is-jailed-over-culpable-homicide-of-reeva-steenkamp-9807382.html
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- 10 years ago
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- Benedikt Breinbauer
  
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  Shouldn't we wait for a possible appeal by the NPA, i.e. 14 days?
  http://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2014/oct/21…
  ...more
  
  10 years ago
  
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- John Yeadon
  
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  Judgement Rule repeated here for clarity:
  "First trial result, before any appeals, after bail hearing. If convicted of multiple charges, the one carrying the highest prison term will be judged as the Final Answer"
  ...more
  
  10 years ago
  
  Reply
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- Supported
- 83.48% Yes
- 16.52% No
- 17.96% Participation
ellen smyth,

Proposed result 6 declined on 2013/12/21 19:18:19

Proposed result:

Premeditated murder

Trading cut-off:

2013/12/18 19:16:15

it wasn't an accident you don't just accidently fire a gun through a door if you don't know whos there ...more

it wasn't an accident you don't just accidently fire a gun through a door if you don't know whos there
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- 11 years ago
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- Hubertus Hofkirchner, Chief Futurist
  
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  I do not think that this has been decided by the court already, so there is no "result" yet. Or has it? For now, you can "enter your prediction" to participate and for a chance to win the prize
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  11 years ago
  
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- 0.00% Yes
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Andy van Antwerp,

Proposed result 5 declined on 2013/11/07 12:29:59

Proposed result:

Murder

Trading cut-off:

2013/11/04 12:27:08

all evidence thus far points to murder ...more

all evidence thus far points to murder
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- 11 years ago
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- 0.00% Yes
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Andy van Antwerp,

Proposed result 4 declined on 2013/06/27 13:41:26

Proposed result:

Murder

Trading cut-off:

2013/06/24 13:36:07

initial affidavit at bail hearing contradicts himself ie., kept firearm under bed because of previous death threats and todays south africa unsafe.....however , why would he then sleep with a fan on his balcony with curtains and sliding door wide open..as well as passing the bed on more than one occasion to retrieve his firearm ...more

initial affidavit at bail hearing contradicts himself ie., kept firearm under bed because of previous death threats and todays south africa unsafe.....however , why would he then sleep with a fan on his balcony with curtains and sliding door wide open..as well as passing the bed on more than one occasion to retrieve his firearm
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- 11 years ago
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- Prediki Predictions, Platform Operator
  
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  Hello Andy, thanks for your contribution. However, please use the blue button "Enter prediction" to enter your personal prediction. The "Final result" button should be used only when the judge has actually spoken a verdict.
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  11 years ago
  
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- 0.00% Yes
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Matthew Welker,

Proposed result 3 declined on 2013/03/22 07:22:33

Proposed result:

Manslaughter

Trading cut-off:

2013/03/19 07:21:11

Plea Bargin will occur to this lesser charge. ...more

Plea Bargin will occur to this lesser charge.
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- 12 years ago
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- Günther Fädler
  
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  Is there any web references about a first trial result? Thanks.
  ...more
  
  12 years ago
  
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- Hubertus Hofkirchner, Chief Futurist
  
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  Hi Matt - this "Final Settlement" page is only for results which have already happened. For entering your predictions about the future ("will occur") please press the "Enter Prediction" button.
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  12 years ago
  
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- 0.00% Yes
- 0.00% No
- 0.00% Participation
Keith Lindsay,

Proposed result 2 declined on 2013/02/26 11:43:46

Proposed result:

Manslaughter

Trading cut-off:

2013/02/23 11:42:23

At his trial - remember this was just a bail hearing - the Schedule 6 charge will be dropped to Schedule 5 ...more

At his trial - remember this was just a bail hearing - the Schedule 6 charge will be dropped to Schedule 5
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- 12 years ago
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- 0.00% Yes
- 0.00% No
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Haydn Pinnell,

Proposed result 1 declined on 2013/02/25 03:06:56

Proposed result:

Murder

Trading cut-off:

2013/02/22 03:04:50

Too difficult to prove premeditated murder ...more

Too difficult to prove premeditated murder
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- 12 years ago
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- View previous replies
- Benedikt Breinbauer
  
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  Come to think of it: You probably just wanted to trade, which can be done via the blue button "My prediction".
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  12 years ago
  
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- Hubertus Hofkirchner, Chief Futurist
  
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  For all newcomers: "Trading" means trading on Prediki's forecast market which is the way to win the incentive / i.e. the prize money. The ultimate result can be entered and spported on this page once the court has actually ruled.
  ...more
  
  12 years ago
  
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