Modification proposals - What year will extraterrestrial life be confirmed? - Prediki Prediction Markets GmbH

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Hubertus Hofkirchner, Chief Futurist

Modification proposal 2 accepted on 2014/05/22 02:54:31

Improved rule, answer structure and clarified dates.
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Improved rule, answer structure and clarified dates.
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What year will extraterrestrial life be confirmed?

Judgement rule

~~As confirmed is a press comference by NASA and an article in a major science journal~~
As confirmed by a press conference by NASA or a comparable national space agency or an article in a major science journal

Question type

Ordered answer scale

Answers

1. ~~2018-2019~~ (16.67%) Before or during 2016 New colour

2. ~~2019-2020~~ (16.67%) 2017 to 2020 New colour

3. ~~2020-2021~~ (16.67%) 2021 to 2025 New colour

4. ~~2021-2022~~ (16.67%) 2026 to 2030 New colour

5. ~~2022-2030~~ (16.67%) 2031-2040 New colour

6. ~~After or never~~ (16.67%) After 2040 or never New colour

Time zone

Europe/London

Reference date:

~~2024/05/01 24:00~~
2040/12/31 24:00

Result expected on

~~2024/05/01 24:00~~
2016/12/31 24:00

Trading session (optional):

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