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When will U.S. house prices peak before the next crisis?

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  • Hubertus Hofkirchner, Chief Futurist
    Modification proposal 1 accepted on 2018/07/17 06:11:30

    Changed question to time variable.

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    Question
    What will be the peak of U.S. house prices before the next crisis?
    When will U.S. house prices peak before the next crisis?
    Judgement rule
    This question shall be judged by the maximum level reached by the S&P Case Shiller 10-Cities Composite House price index before a cumulative correction by 50 index points or more. As of 17 July 2018 the index was 223 points.
    This question shall be judged by the time when the maximum level is reached by the S&P Case Shiller 10-Cities Composite House price index before a cumulative correction by 50 index points or more. As of 17 July 2018 the index was 223 points.
    Question type
    Ordered answer scale
    Answers
    • 1. 220 - 230 (20.00%) H2 2018
    • 2. 230 - 240 (20.00%) H1 2019
    • 3. 240 - 250 (20.00%) H2 2019
    • 4. 250 - 300 (20.00%) 2020
    • 5. 300 or more (20.00%) 2021 or later
    Time zone
    America/New_York
    Reference date:
    2018/07/17 24:00
    Result expected on
    2018/07/17 24:00
    2018/12/31 24:00
    Trading session (optional):
      until  
  • Hubertus Hofkirchner, Chief Futurist
    New question proposed accepted on 2018/07/17 04:30:57
    Profile picture
    
        
    or cancel

    Question
    What will be the peak of U.S. house prices before the next crisis?
    Judgement rule
    This question shall be judged by the maximum level reached by the S&P Case Shiller 10-Cities Composite House price index before a cumulative correction by 50 index points or more. As of 17 July 2018 the index was 223 points.
    Question type
    Ordered answer scale
    Answers
    • 1. (20.00%) 220 - 230
    • 2. (20.00%) 230 - 240
    • 3. (20.00%) 240 - 250
    • 4. (20.00%) 250 - 300
    • 5. (20.00%) 300 or more
    Time zone
    America/New_York
    Reference date:
    2018/07/17 24:00
    Result expected on
    2018/07/17 24:00
    Trading session (optional):
      until