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Which is the earliest month by when will we have an approved treatment for COVID-19?

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  • New question proposed accepted on 2020/04/04 06:38:44
    • Prediki USA, Prediction Markets 2.0

      This is a well-formed prediction question. A minor uncertainty may be the judgement of a possible later arrival date. We recommend to modify the answer set, either to add an 8th answer option or to change the 7th option to "June 2021 or later".

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    Question
    Which is the earliest month by when will we have an approved treatment for COVID-19?
    Judgement rule
    "Solidarity” is an international clinical trial to help find an effective treatment for COVID-19, launched by the World Health Organization and partners. It will compare four treatment options against standard of care, to assess their relative effectiveness against COVID-19.
    https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/global-research-on-novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov/solidarity-clinical-trial-for-covid-19-treatments
    Question type
    Ordered answer scale
    Answers
    • 1. (14.29%) June 2020
    • 2. (14.29%) August 2020
    • 3. (14.29%) October 2020
    • 4. (14.29%) December 2020
    • 5. (14.29%) February 2021
    • 6. (14.29%) April 2021
    • 7. (14.29%) June 2021
    Time zone
    Europe/Bucharest
    Reference date:
    2021/06/01 24:00
    Result expected on
    2020/05/01 24:00
    Trading session (optional):
      until