Which party will control the US Senate after the midterm 2026 election?
Settlement proposals
Please check if any final result proposed here has really happened. Is there a reliable source for this information? Is the proposed cut-off date before the time when the final result became certain beyond reasonable doubt? Did the trader proposing the final result refrain from cheating with quick last trades? If these checks are positive, please vote "Yes" for settlement else "No".
§ Judgement rule
This market may be determined early based on a consensus of media calls projecting control of the U.S. Senate.
The Underlying for this Contract is the political party membership of each Member of Senate for the 2028 term, as well as the political party membership of the Vice President (who is the tie breaker).
The Other option shall occur if there is no consensus after the election, the election is cancelled, or some other way in which neither major party has control.
Reference date:
Nov. 3, 2026, 19:00 EST
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