Modification proposals - Will Bitcoin's reward halving in May 2020 impact its value?

Hubertus Hofkirchner, Chief Futurist

Modification proposal 1 accepted on 2020/05/07 04:30:47

We need to be more flexible in the question specification. Therefore the rule must refer to the block instead of the tentative date and a price difference instead of a tentative price levels. The sponsor sees this as a consistency fix following the underlying meaning of the question and thus the modification will go into effect as of immediately.
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We need to be more flexible in the question specification. Therefore the rule must refer to the block instead of the tentative date and a price difference instead of a tentative price levels. The sponsor sees this as a consistency fix following the underlying meaning of the question and thus the modification will go into effect as of immediately.
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Question

~~Will Bitcoin's reward halving on 7 May 2020 impact its value?~~
Will Bitcoin's reward halving in May 2020 impact its value?

Judgement rule

This question will be settled by the price difference of the Bitcoin price on the day before the halving (06 May) i.e. US$9,009.35 compared to the day after halving (8 May), as recorded on https://cointelegraph.com/bitcoin-price-index. Cointelegaph' price definition shall be authoritative.
This question will be settled by the price difference of the Bitcoin price on the day before the halving at block 630,000 compared to the day after halving, as recorded on https://cointelegraph.com/bitcoin-price-index. Cointelegaph' price definition shall be authoritative.

Question type

Ordered answer scale

Answers

1. ~~Up to $8,600 (strong fall)~~ (12.50%) Up to -4% (strong fall)

2. ~~$8,600 - $8,800~~ (12.50%) -4% to -2%

3. ~~$8,800 - $8,900~~ (12.50%) -2% to -1%

4. ~~$8,900 - $9,000 (slight fall)~~ (12.50%) -1% to 0% (slight fall)

5. ~~$9,000 - $9,100 (slight rise)~~ (12.50%) 0 to +1% (slight rise)

6. ~~$9,100 - $9,200~~ (12.50%) +1% to +2%

7. ~~$9,200 - $9,400~~ (12.50%) +2% to +4%

8. ~~Above $9,400 (strong rise)~~ (12.50%) More than +4% (strong rise)

Time zone

UTC

Reference date:

2020/05/08 24:00

Result expected on

2020/05/08 24:00

Trading session (optional):

until
No support required

No voting required
Hubertus Hofkirchner, Chief Futurist

New question proposed accepted on 2020/05/06 03:42:49
- 3 years ago
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Question

Will Bitcoin's reward halving on 7 May 2020 impact its value?

Judgement rule

This question will be settled by the price difference of the Bitcoin price on the day before the halving (06 May) i.e. US$9,009.35 compared to the day after halving (8 May), as recorded on https://cointelegraph.com/bitcoin-price-index. Cointelegaph' price definition shall be authoritative.

Question type

Ordered answer scale

Answers

1. (12.50%) Up to $8,600 (strong fall)

2. (12.50%) $8,600 - $8,800

3. (12.50%) $8,800 - $8,900

4. (12.50%) $8,900 - $9,000 (slight fall)

5. (12.50%) $9,000 - $9,100 (slight rise)

6. (12.50%) $9,100 - $9,200

7. (12.50%) $9,200 - $9,400

8. (12.50%) Above $9,400 (strong rise)

Time zone

UTC

Reference date:

2020/05/08 24:00

Result expected on

2020/05/08 24:00

Trading session (optional):

until
No support required

No voting required

Modification proposal or Copy question