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Will US airports see large crowds before a COVID-19 vaccine, and when?

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  • Modification proposal 3 accepted on 2020/12/14 06:25:52

    Removed obsolete answer options

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    Question
    Will US airports see large crowds before a COVID-19 vaccine, and when?
    Judgement rule
    The question will be judged by the month (or the period with such month) when US airports reach 80% of the average monthly number of passengers in the year before the pandemic. This question also ends if a vaccine becomes available for mass inoculation prior to reaching such level.
    Question type
    Ordered answer scale
    Answers
    • 1. Apr. - Jun. (Q2) 2020
    • 2. Jul. - Sep. (Q3) 2020
    • 1. 3 (12.50%) Oct. - Dec. (Q4) 2020
    • 2. 4 (12.50%) Jan. - Jun. (H1) 2021
    • 3. 5 (12.50%) Jul. - Dec. (H2) 2021
    • 4. 6 (12.50%) In 2022
    • 5. 7 (12.50%) In 2023 or later
    • 6. 8 (12.50%) Only after vaccination
    Time zone
    US/Pacific
    Reference date:
    2022/12/31 24:00
    Result expected on
    2022/12/31 24:00
    Trading session (optional):
      until  
  • Modification proposal 2 accepted on 2020/05/06 07:10:42

    Clarified title, edited typos

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    or cancel

    Question
    When will US airports see large crowds before a COVID-19 vaccine?
    Will US airports see large crowds before a COVID-19 vaccine, and when?
    Judgement rule
    The question will be judged by the month (or the period with such month) when US airports reach 80% of the average monthly number of passengers in the year before the pandemic. This question also ends if a vaccine becomes available for mass inoculation prior to reaching such level.
    Question type
    Ordered answer scale
    Answers
    • 1. (12.50%) Apr. - Jun. (Q2) 2020
    • 2. (12.50%) Jul. - Sep. (Q3) 2020
    • 3. Oct. - Dez. (Q4) 2020 (12.50%) Oct. - Dec. (Q4) 2020
    • 4. (12.50%) Jan. - Jun. (H1) 2021
    • 5. Jul. - Dez. (H2) 2021 (12.50%) Jul. - Dec. (H2) 2021
    • 6. (12.50%) In 2022
    • 7. (12.50%) In 2023 or later
    • 8. (12.50%) Only after vaccination
    Time zone
    US/Pacific
    Reference date:
    2022/12/31 24:00
    Result expected on
    2022/12/31 24:00
    Trading session (optional):
      until