Prediki Prediction Markets GmbH

Will US airports see large crowds before a COVID-19 vaccine, and when?

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<body><h2>Bill predicts in The Economist:</h2>
<p><a class="wiki-img" href="/mediadb/image/786ebc2b9cfa432cab27f4a21c9a055c/"><img alt="Filled Airport - Copyright: Airport-Technology|Credit: Citizen59" height="138" src="/media/displays/786ebc2b9cfa432cab27f4a21c9a055c/wiki_medium.png" width="185"/></a>"I believe that humanity will beat this pandemic, but only when most of the population is vaccinated. Until then, life will not return to normal. [...] Airports won’t have large crowds." [1]</p>
<h2>Prediki definition:</h2>
<p>We define 'large crowds' as at least 80% of capacity prior to the pandemic. We also define in favour of Bill that such vaccine must just be available, irrespective of whether people choose to vaccinate.</p>
<h2>Bill invests:</h2>
<ul>
<li>10,000 Cr in 'Only after vaccination'</li>
</ul>
<h2>Monthly passengers on US airlines [2]</h2>
<p><a class="wiki-img" href="/mediadb/image/81253b21a530434e89285392a851b5b0/"><img alt="US passenger numbers by month - Copyright: United States Department of Transportation" src="/media/displays/81253b21a530434e89285392a851b5b0/wiki_medium.png"/></a></p>
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<h3>Sources</h3>
<p>[1] The Economist - "<a href="https://www.economist.com/by-invitation/2020/04/23/bill-gates-on-how-to-fight-future-pandemics" target="_blank">The world after covid-19. Bill Gates on how to fight future pandemics</a>" by Bill Gates. 23 Apr. 2020</p>
<p>[2] <a href="https://www.bts.gov/statistical-releases?shs_term_node_tid_depth=321&field_date_effective_value_1%5Bvalue%5D%5Bdate%5D=&field_date_effective_value%5Bvalue%5D%5Bdate%5D=" target="_blank">Bureau of Transportation Statistic Releases</a> - "<a href="https://www.bts.gov/newsroom/september-2020-us-airline-traffic-data" target="_blank">September 2020 U.S. Airline Traffic Data</a>"</p>
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