Question
Will any Trump administration cabinet member be impeached by the end of the semester?
Judgement rule
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. House of Representatives adopts one or more articles of impeachment against a cabinet member[*] in connection with their specified role between market creation and the date of market expiry. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
[*]Cabinet members are those listed here (includes Executive Department Secretaries and
Cabinet-Level Officials): https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/cabinet/
Neither trial nor conviction by the U.S. Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to "Yes".
A cabinet official permanently vacating the specified office before any article of impeachment is adopted will *not* count as an impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. House of Representatives, including the Office of the Clerk and Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Reference: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-impeached-by-june-30-2027
Two alternatives
until
2026/12/07 24:00
New question proposed accepted on 2026/11/09 17:54:17