Will the "Lockdown" quarantine policy of China in Q1 2020 turn out to be effective?
Settlement proposals
Please check if any final result proposed here has really happened. Is there a reliable source for this information? Is the proposed cut-off date before the time when the final result became certain beyond reasonable doubt? Did the trader proposing the final result refrain from cheating with quick last trades? If these checks are positive, please vote "Yes" for settlement else "No".
§ Judgement rule
The question will be judged at year end 2020:
"Success", if the number of new deaths subsequent to China's declaration of victory on 10 March 2020 remains below the number of recorded deaths before that date.
"Partially successful" if the number is exceeded but below the next level
"Probably ineffective" if the numbers of deaths per 100.000 reach 50% of that in "Herd Immunisation"countries already in 2020.
"Ineffective" if the numbers of deaths per 100.000 exceed that in "Herd Immunisation"countries already in 2020.
Reference date:
Dec. 31, 2020, 24:00 CET
-
Propose final result (trigger settlement)
Is the final result now certain? If so, please enter a proposal to settle this question, citing the source of your information. In any case, make sure to enter the date and time when this result was beyond reasonable doubt to ensure a fair settlement.
Propose final result