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Will the Playstation 4 or the Xbox One sell more consoles worldwide by March 29th, 2014?

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  1. Study the background information carefully.
  2. Read the background information carefully, before proceeding.

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PS 4 and Xbox ONE

Background

Microsoft and Sony announced that their next console generation will be launched almost concurrently: Xbox One (XO) on Friday, November 22 in the UK and 13 more countries. PlayStation 4 (PS4) will launch one week earlier than that in North America and one week later in Europe. [1]

Differentiators

The two consoles' differences are as follows - for their impact on the forecast see in the "Discussion" section below:

Hardware differences

[Missing: Kinect should make a difference?]

DifferencesPS4XOComment
PriceUS$400US$500PS4 is 20% cheaper
CPUAMD Jaguar, 8 coresAMD Jaguar, 8 cores
RAM8GB GDDR5 5500mhz8GB DDR3 2133mhz
plus 32MB eSRAM
?
GPU1152 ATI logic cores768 ATI logic cores
Memory Bandwidth176GBps68.3GBps
Camera1280x800 (optional-$60)1920x1080 time-of-flight, infrared (included)

Software differences

Both PS4 and Xbox One now seem to lack backwards compatibility with prior generation games except through digital repurchase. Hence, the availability (or lack) of certain new game might influence the purchase decision. This needs an estimate of the attractiveness of each console's exclusive games.

Exclusive Games PS4Exclusive Games XO
Binding of Issac: Rebirth, Deep Down, DriveClub, Everybody's Gone to the Rapture, Galak-Z: The Dimensional, Guilty Gear Xrd -SIGN-, Guns of Icarus, Helldivers, Hotline Miami 2: Wrong Number, inFamous: Second Son, Killzone: Shadow Fall, Knack, N++, Natural Doctrine, Octodad: Deadliest Catch, The Order: 1886, Rime, Rogue Legacy, TimeSplitters Rewind, Shadow of the Beast, Volume, War Thunder, Wasteland Kings, Wonder Flick, Yakuza Ishin;Below, Cobalt, Crimson Dragon, D4, Dead Rising 3, Fable Legends, Fighter Within, Forza Motorsport 5, Halo 5, Killer Instinct, Kinect Sports: Rivals, Quantum Break, Peggle 2, Powerstar Golf, Project Spark, Rabbids Invasion, RYSE: Son of Rome, Sunset Overdrive, Zumba Fitness: World Party, Untitled Black Tusk Game

Opinion polls

A poll by Reuters/Ipsos shows PS4 (26%) ahead of Xbox One (16%) when asking consumers for their expected purchase preference. [6]

Expert opinions

Analyst Michael Pachter sees PS4 ahead for the start, merely arguing better demand planning by Sony. [5]

Discussion of differentiators

  1. Balance or Power? Comparing Xbox One and PS4 Hardware - GameFront, 23 September 2013
  1. Xbox One release date - Metro, 4 September 2013
  2. PS4 vs. Xbox One vs. Wii U Comparison Chart - IGN
  3. PS4 vs. Xbox One Games - IGN
  4. Xbox One Hardware & Analysis: Comparison to Playstation 4 - Anandtech, 22 May 2013
  5. Michael Pachter Reckons That the PS4 Will Outsell the Xbox One at Launch - PushSquare, 29 September 2013
  6. Sony's PS4 tops Xbox One as gamers' holiday choice . Reuters, 29 Sep 2013