Wird bis 2025 in einem militärischen Konflikt eine Atomwaffe eingesetzt werden?

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§ Judgement rule

How will the final result of the question be determined?

"Nein": Bis Ende 2025 MEZ wurde keine Atomwaffe eingesetzt. | "Ja, durch eine Nation": Eine Nation, die Kriegspartei ist, setzt eine oder mehrere Atomwaffen im Konflikt ein. | "Ja, durch zwei oder mehr Nationen": Der Atomkrieg eskaliert, die Frage wird sofort abgerechnet. | Atomwaffentests gelten nicht als militärischer Waffeneinsatz im Sinne dieser Prognosefrage.
Reference date: Dec. 31, 2025, 24:00 CET

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Wiki article

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Laut ORF hat der russische Präsident Wladimir Putin seit Beginn der Militäroperation in der Ukraine (Anm. am 24. Februar 2022) angedeutet, dass er bereit sei, Russlands taktische Atomwaffen einzusetzen. 

Russische Truppen in der russischen Ostsee-Enklave Kaliningrad simulierten am 5. Mai Angriffe mit nuklearwaffenfähigen Raketen vom Typ Iskander. 

Quelle

  1. Moskau: Atomangriff in Kaliningrad simuliert - ORF, 5. Mai 2022, 7:07 Uhr

Addendum

TED talk on the impact of a nuclear war by Professor Brian Toon from the University of Colorado-Boulder:

 

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Question owner:
scholarium GmbH
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Countdown to final result Dec. 31, 2025, 18:00:00 2025/12/31 24:00 CET