These contracts are intended for students in the Wake Forest Prediction Markets Course. We would appreciate if other traders refrain from making transactions or commenting.
… We will use the October 2026 futures contract. If it expires before the due date we will use November 2026 futures.
We will use the prior settled last price on to expire the contract …
… We will use total (sum) precipitation for Smith Reynolds airport as listed on Weather Underground: https://www.wunderground.com/history/monthly/KINT/date/2026-10
The average precipitation for October …
… We will use total (sum) precipitation for Smith Reynolds airport as listed on Weather Underground: https://www.wunderground.com/history/monthly/KINT/date/2026-9
The average precipitation …
… is cancelled, or some other way in which neither major party has control.
Democrats Republicans Other
Kalshi has Republicans at 52%: https://kalshi.com/markets/controls/senate-winner/controls-2026
democrats …
… California voters will decide on Proposition 40 in which state residents whose estimated net worth exceeds $1 billion on 1 Jan 2026 would pay a one-time 5% tax on their accumulated wealth (this tax …
… We will use the November 2026 futures contract. If it expires before the due date we will use December 2026 futures.
We will use the prior settled last price on to expire the contract …
… The 78th Emmy's will be televised starting at 8pm ET on14 Sep 2026.
https://www.televisionacademy.com/awards/nominees-winners/2026/outstanding-drama-series
…
… weekends among A24 movies in North America (Primetime is an A24 movie):
Backrooms (2026) — $81.4 million
Civil War (2024) — $25.5 million
Marty Supreme (2025) — $17 million
The Drama (2026) — $14.4 million …
… -rated comedies, a list that includes last year’s October release Good Fortune ($6.1M) and a trio of 2026 films that, like Ali G: Who Iz I?, spring from early aughts comedy properties once loved …
These contracts are intended for students in the Wake Forest Prediction Markets Course. We would appreciate if other traders refrain from making transactions or commenting.
… This will be based on the survey in the last class (3 Dec 2026) which will use a five point scale: increasing values mean better evaluations
<3 [3,3.5) [3.5,4) [4,4.5) [4.5,5]
…
… THOC will be released 18 Sept 2026,
https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2605023489/
YCSE does not yet have a release date (expected Oct 2026, and I will update the expiry date when it does,
https …