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Industry health: Will the market research industry grow or shrink from 2016 to 2020, and why?

  • This prediction question shall be judged by the inflation-adjusted compound annual growth rate (net CAGR) of the tradítional global market research industry turnover as reported by the ESOMAR Global Market Research Report 2020. For the avoidance of doubt, the GMR reports the prior year's turnover.
  • USD 40.00

    Research methods: Will online qualitative grow or shrink vs. online quantitative by 2020, and why?

  • This prediction question shall be judged by the share of spend by research method as reported by the ESOMAR GMR 2020. The result shall be the percentage of online qualitative research within the total of online research methods (i.e. online quantitative and qualitative).
  • USD 40.00

    Commoditisation: Will the global price of the online Usage & Attitude study recover or continue to ...

  • This prediction question shall be judged by the average annual percent increase or decline of the global price of a 15 minute 'Usage & Attitude' study between 2016 and 2020 as specified in the ESOMAR Global Prices Study. Should the study specifications change between 2016 and 2020, the price comparison shall be adjusted accordingly. The average annual price change is calculated as a compound rate, i.e. the fourth root of (Price_2020/Price_2016).
  • USD 40.00

    Equal opportunity: Will the share of women in market research being ESOMAR members rise or fall by ...

  • This prediction question shall be judged by the percentage share of female members of ESOMAR world-wide as reported by ESOMAR before the 2020 Annual Congress.
  • USD 40.00

    Big vs. Small: What will be the combined market share of the top 5 market research firms in 2020?

  • This prediction question shall be judged by the sum of the global market share of the 5 largest market research companies as reported by the GMR 2020. For the avoidance of doubt: the set of "largest" companies may change over the prediction horizon.
  • USD 40.00

    Crowdsourcing: What percentage level of interest will Prediction Markets reach by 2020 compared to ...

  • This prediction question shall be judged by the ratio of Google search traffic for "Prediction Markets" divided by that for "Market Research". Search traffic shall be calculated for the last full calendar month before the ESOMAR Congress 2020.
  • USD 40.00

    The ESOMAR Global Market Research Report of 2020

  • A real-time tracker study in the future condition of the market research industry, sponsored by ESOMAR and launched at the ESOMAR Annual Congress 2016 in …
  • USD 320.00

    Substitution: Will the importance of Big Data rise or fall until 2020?

  • This prediction question shall be judged by the ratio of Google search traffic for "Big Data" divided by that for "Market Research". Search traffic shall be calculated for the last full calendar month before the ESOMAR Congress 2020.
  • USD 40.00

    Jobs: How many people will the market research industry employ in 2020, and why?

  • This prediction question shall be judged by the total number of employees working in the market research industry according to the GMR 2020. As the GMR reports only the employees for the 25 largest market research firms, that number is grossed up pro rata to their share of turnover to get an industry-wide number for judgement..
  • USD 40.00

    What will be the range of electric cars in 2015?

  • The independently verified number of miles of the best-selling electric car in the calendar year of 2015 at full charge under normal conditions. Ancilliary non-electric motors or similar are deemed irrelevant. "Best-selling" means new registrations in the United States.
  • USD 15.00

    How many units of the iPad mini will be sold from its launch in Q4 2012 through the end of Q1 2013?

  • Numbers from Apple's quarterly earnings report from Q4 2012 and Q1 2013
  • USD 0.00

    Will income inequality increase in Europe in 2013?

  • Ratio between top and bottom 20% of income distribution. Judgement by data from Eurostat.
  • USD 100.00

    What engine is Porsche going to run in its current LMP1 for LeMans 2014?

  • Offical engine specification announced by Porsche after 2013 pretests
  • Invaluable

    What is the future motorsport strategy of AUDI and PORSCHE after 2016?

  • Official works participation in 2017
  • Invaluable

    What will the court rule in the case of Oscar Pistorius, the Blade Runner, who shot and killed his ...

  • First trial result, before any appeals, after bail hearing. If convicted of multiple charges, the one carrying the highest prison term will be judged as the Final Answer.
  • USD 100.00

    What percentage of Australian new car sales in 2015 will be cars with computerized automated parkin...

  • The interdependently verified data on new car sales in 2015. "Automated parking" and "self-driving capability" means any feature being promoted as assisting the driver by having the cars computer make decisions about steering, braking and accelerating the vehicle independently of the driver. Does not include features not advertised as such, e.g traction control.
  • USD 10.00

    What will the exchange rate of US$ per Bitcoin be at the end of 2013?

  • The question will be judged by the weighted average of the last five ticks from active Bitcoin exchanges before the end of the year 2013 (US Pacific time).
  • USD 133.98

    Quale candidato vincerà le elezioni primarie del Partito Democratico il prossimo 8 dicembre 2013?

  • Sulla base dell'annuncio ufficiale dei risultati da PD pubblicato sul sito http://www.primariepd2013.it/ oppure http://www.partitodemocratico.it/. Gli acquisti di titoli virtuali del vincitore saranno valutati al 100% e quelli di un altro candidato allo 0%.
  • USD 100.00

    Which of these brands of shampoo will have experienced the most growth in usage between December 20...

  • This question relates to the Kantar shampoo study. Compare the usage recorded in the 2013 study to the usage recorded in the 2012 study and predict which shampoo brand will have experienced the most growth in usage over the last year. The growth measurement will be based on the absolute increase in market share for any one brand and not percent increase of share for anyone brand.
  • USD 50.00

    Which of these brands of shampoo will have the highest user satisfaction in the 2013 study?

  • This question relates to the UK shampoo study of December 2013 by GMI (see "Topics"). Panelists are asked to rank their satisfaction with each brand they used in terms of meeting their personal needs for a shampoo.
  • USD 80.00
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