• No questions for this search term

What Percentage of Predictions Fail?

  • …  act on forecasts, implying that bad forecasts will cause bad decisions. However, politicians (including top managers in corporate politics) often work the other way round. Let’s assume that a fictitious …

    • Followers: 1

    Leadership through future questions

  • … . External links Aristotle: Politics, Book III, Chapter 11 cf. Elias Canetti: "Crowds and Power", 1960 (Nobel Prize winner 1981) Vernon Smith: "Markets as Economizers of Information …

    • Followers: 1

    How Great Leaders Look into the Future

  • …  challenges, cultural trends or political developments will change how customers look at our offering? Which dissatisfactions with the status quo will open up an entry path for new competitors …

    • Followers: 1

    Renewed Controversy About Election Polls

  • … . The pollsters’ mean absolute error (MAE) averaged an embarrassing 2.3 percentage points. “Some polls were methodical garbage”, explained Austrian media darling and political pundit Peter Filzmaier on the ZiB 2 …

    • Followers: 1
    Confidential results hidden from view