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Who will win the 2024 US presidential election?

  • USA elections results
    • Created: March 7, 2024, 09:05:45
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    North Carolina will report at least one month with $100million in legal sports betting (handle) by ...

  • Legal mobile sports betting is scheduled to start in NC at noon on 11 march 2024. We will use Legal Sports Reports as our official source: https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting/revenue/ If there is a report from official NC sources then I will use that to expire. If there is a report which I do not see until far after publication, I reserve the right to expire the market at the time the report was issued (bets made after that time will be refunded). The market will expire as "No" if: -there are no months with the handle listed -no reports issued by the end of the semester -sports betting is delayed beyond the start of the semester
    • Created: March 3, 2024, 20:04:42
    • Settled
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    Will the opening weekend domestic box office gross of Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire exceed $50 millio...

  • See the wiki.
    • Created: March 3, 2024, 16:05:47
    • Settled
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    Will Winston-Salem have a wetter than average March 2024?

  • The Wiki contains details on how the market will be expired.
    • Created: March 1, 2024, 00:25:33
    • Settled
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    Will the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil exceed $75 per barrel at the end of March?

  • See Wiki
    • Created: Feb. 29, 2024, 20:13:11
    • Settled
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    Bitcoin: What will the price of 1 BTC be in U.S. Dollar at 3:30pm ET on 31 March 2024?

  • We will use https://www.coinbase.com/charts to resolve.
    • Created: Feb. 29, 2024, 20:10:11
    • Settled
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    What percent of ECN 345 students brought a copy of the assigned readings to class on 2/27?

  • class survey
    • Created: Feb. 27, 2024, 20:28:19
    • Settled
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    What will be the value of the S&P 500 when the NYSE closes on 8 March 2024?

  • https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC
    • Created: Feb. 26, 2024, 00:15:35
    • Settled
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    Will Wake Forest Men's Basketball team be selected for the 2024 NCAA Tournament (aka March Madness)?

  • Selection Sunday is set for Sunday, March 17, 2024. It usually is at 6pm ET (I may adjust expiry time if this changes).. In the event of an unforeseen circumstance (tournament canceled, selection significantly delayed) then "No" will teh correct answer. A few references: https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/_/page/bracketology/ncaa-bracketology-2024-march-madness-men-field-predictions https://www.foxsports.com/stories/college-basketball/2024-ncaa-tournament-projections
    • Created: Feb. 26, 2024, 00:11:06
    • Settled
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    When will Nikki Haley cease to be a candidate for the 2024 Republican nomination for US president?

  • I will use my discretion to resolve this market. I will try to rely on an official announcement that Haley is no longer seeking the Republican Party nomination for president or that she is fully suspending her campaign. I may also use a confirmed report from a major news source. Note: I may need to backdate the expiry time, in which case trades made after that expiry time will be refunded.
    • Created: Feb. 23, 2024, 13:13:23
    • Settled
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    Will the opening weekend domestic box office gross of Dune: Part 2 exceed $75 million?

  • See the wiki.
    • Created: Feb. 18, 2024, 16:52:37
    • Settled
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    What will the average percentage score be on the ECN 345 midterm (without the curve)?

  • The midterm will be 22 February in class
    • Created: Feb. 15, 2024, 21:45:15
    • Settled
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    Who will be announced as the new Wake economics department chairman by the end of the semester?

  • The Wake economics department is in the process of selecting a new chairman. This position must be held by a tenured research professor. All current tenured professors are listed. The "Other" option will pay off if an unlisted person is announced (that includes for example the current chair) or there is no announcement by the end of the semester about this position. Note added 18 Feb: I may need to backdate the expiry time for this market to the time of the announcement. Trades made after the announcement will be refunded.
    • Created: Feb. 14, 2024, 11:42:12
    • Settled
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    Which candidate will win the NC GOP Governor's primary?

  • The "Other" option will pay off if any of these occur a candidate besides those listed wins the primary; the primary election is delayed; no candidate wins the primary after a reasonable time (at the latest the end of the semester).. The primary is scheduled for 5 March 2024. BACKGROUND https://ballotpedia.org/North_Carolina_gubernatorial_election,_2024 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_North_Carolina_gubernatorial_election
    • Created: Feb. 11, 2024, 09:53:03
    • Settled
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    What will be the value of the S&P 500 when the NYSE closes on 23 February 2024?

  • https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC
    • Created: Feb. 11, 2024, 09:42:48
    • Settled
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    How many points will Everton have deducted before the end of the 2023/24 season?

  • In March 2023 Everton were charged by the Premier League for breaching profit and sustainability rules (PSR) over the period 2019-20, 2020-21, and 2021-22. The matter was referred to an independent commission and on November 17th 2023 they issued a 10 point deduction with immediate effect. Everton lodged an appeal to this punishment which is due to be resolved in February 2024. On January 15th 2024 Everton received a separate charge from the Premier League, covering the period 2019-20, 2020-21, 2021-22 and also 2022-23. The second independent commission will wait until the results of the first appeal are known before meeting, and the Premier League have stated that they would like both charges to be resolved before the end of the season. How many points, in total, will Everton have had deducted when their final PL match of the season kicks off at 4pm on Sunday May 19th 2024?
    • Created: Feb. 8, 2024, 08:54:45
    • Active
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    Will the opening weekend domestic box office gross of Madame Web exceed $25 million?

  • See the wiki.
    • Created: Feb. 5, 2024, 16:29:54
    • Settled
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    Bitcoin: What will the price of 1 BTC be in U.S. Dollar at 3:30pm ET on 29 February 2024?

  • We will use https://www.coinbase.com/charts to resolve.
    • Created: Feb. 3, 2024, 22:31:14
    • Settled
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    Who will be the winner of the 66th Grammy Award for Album of the Year?

  • The options are listed as performing album name: artist. https://www.grammy.com/news/2024-grammys-nominations-full-winners-nominees-list If the event is rescheduled to a later date during the semester we will extend the expiry date to that time. If it is after the semester (or cancelled) then the Other option pays off.
    • Created: Feb. 2, 2024, 12:29:57
    • Settled
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    Which team will win Superbowl LVIII?

  • Kickoff is 11 February at 6:30pm ET. Game will be televised on CBS/Paramount+. If the game is not held or is there is no winner by the planned game date (and it is not rescheduled), the Other option pays-off
    • Created: Jan. 30, 2024, 15:50:37
    • Settled
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