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Industry health: Will the market research industry grow or shrink from 2016 to 2020, and why?

  • This prediction question shall be judged by the inflation-adjusted compound annual growth rate (net CAGR) of the tradítional global market research industry turnover as reported by the ESOMAR Global Market Research Report 2020. For the avoidance of doubt, the GMR reports the prior year's turnover.
    • Last: March 11, 2022, 02:55:02
    • Settled
    USD 40.00

    Commoditisation: Will the global price of the online Usage & Attitude study recover or continue to ...

  • This prediction question shall be judged by the average annual percent increase or decline of the global price of a 15 minute 'Usage & Attitude' study between 2016 and 2020 as specified in the ESOMAR Global Prices Study. Should the study specifications change between 2016 and 2020, the price comparison shall be adjusted accordingly. The average annual price change is calculated as a compound rate, i.e. the fourth root of (Price_2020/Price_2016).
    • Last: March 11, 2022, 02:55:30
    • Active
    USD 40.00

    Big vs. Small: What will be the combined market share of the top 5 market research firms in 2020?

  • This prediction question shall be judged by the sum of the global market share of the 5 largest market research companies as reported by the GMR 2020. For the avoidance of doubt: the set of "largest" companies may change over the prediction horizon.
    • Last: Oct. 18, 2018, 10:50:33
    • Active
    USD 40.00

    Jobs: How many people will the market research industry employ in 2020, and why?

  • This prediction question shall be judged by the total number of employees working in the market research industry according to the GMR 2020. As the GMR reports only the employees for the 25 largest market research firms, that number is grossed up pro rata to their share of turnover to get an industry-wide number for judgement..
    • Last: Sept. 24, 2018, 06:17:25
    • Active
    USD 40.00

    Substitution: Will the importance of Big Data rise or fall until 2020?

  • This prediction question shall be judged by the ratio of Google search traffic for "Big Data" divided by that for "Market Research". Search traffic shall be calculated for the last full calendar month before the ESOMAR Congress 2020.
    • Last: Sept. 18, 2017, 13:54:26
    • Settled
    USD 40.00

    Equal opportunity: Will the share of women in market research being ESOMAR members rise or fall by ...

  • This prediction question shall be judged by the percentage share of female members of ESOMAR world-wide as reported by ESOMAR before the 2020 Annual Congress.
    • Last: Sept. 25, 2018, 09:58:09
    • Active
    USD 40.00

    Crowdsourcing: What percentage level of interest will Prediction Markets reach by 2020 compared to ...

  • This prediction question shall be judged by the ratio of Google search traffic for "Prediction Markets" divided by that for "Market Research". Search traffic shall be calculated for the last full calendar month before the ESOMAR Congress 2020.
    • Last: Sept. 18, 2017, 14:01:22
    • Settled
    USD 40.00

    Research methods: Will online qualitative grow or shrink vs. online quantitative by 2020, and why?

  • This prediction question shall be judged by the share of spend by research method as reported by the ESOMAR GMR 2020. The result shall be the percentage of online qualitative research within the total of online research methods (i.e. online quantitative and qualitative).
    • Last: March 11, 2022, 02:55:19
    • Settled
    USD 40.00

    What will the court rule in the case of Oscar Pistorius, the Blade Runner, who shot and killed his ...

  • First trial result, before any appeals, after bail hearing. If convicted of multiple charges, the one carrying the highest prison term will be judged as the Final Answer.
    • Last: Oct. 23, 2014, 06:10:56
    • Settled
    USD 100.00

    Quale candidato vincerà le elezioni primarie del Partito Democratico il prossimo 8 dicembre 2013?

  • Sulla base dell'annuncio ufficiale dei risultati da PD pubblicato sul sito http://www.primariepd2013.it/ oppure http://www.partitodemocratico.it/. Gli acquisti di titoli virtuali del vincitore saranno valutati al 100% e quelli di un altro candidato allo 0%.
    • Last: Dec. 10, 2013, 10:39:05
    • Settled
    USD 100.00

    Which of these brands of shampoo will have experienced the most growth in usage between December 20...

  • This question relates to the Kantar shampoo study. Compare the usage recorded in the 2013 study to the usage recorded in the 2012 study and predict which shampoo brand will have experienced the most growth in usage over the last year. The growth measurement will be based on the absolute increase in market share for any one brand and not percent increase of share for anyone brand.
    • Last: July 20, 2014, 06:58:58
    • Settled
    USD 50.00

    Which of these brands of shampoo will have the highest user satisfaction in the 2013 study?

  • This question relates to the UK shampoo study of December 2013 by GMI (see "Topics"). Panelists are asked to rank their satisfaction with each brand they used in terms of meeting their personal needs for a shampoo.
    • Last: Jan. 8, 2014, 05:08:46
    • Settled
    USD 80.00

    GMI 2013 UK shampoo market study: Which reason will panelists mention most often for chosing the br...

  • This question relates to the GMI UK shampoo market study of December 2013 (also see "Topic" below).
    • Last: Aug. 25, 2014, 18:38:56
    • Settled
    USD 60.00

    GMI 2013 UK shampoo market study: How will the average price of shampoo change in the next 12 month...

  • This question relates to the GMI UK shampoo market study of December 2013 (also see "Topic" below). The answer chosen most often by all GMI respondents will be used to judge this prediction question, which means the task here is to predict what the others will say.
    • Last: Jan. 8, 2014, 10:48:57
    • Settled
    USD 30.00

    Which brands of shampoo will have grown the most in usage when UK respondents will be asked next ye...

  • This prediction question relates to the forthcoming 2014 GMI study of the UK shampoos market. Compare the usage which the 2014 study will record to the usage of the 2013 study. In other words, the prediction is which shampoo brand will have experienced the most growth in usage over the next year according to the 2014 study respondents. The growth measurement will be based on the absolute increase in market share for any one brand and not percent increase of share for anyone brand.
    • Last: Nov. 7, 2018, 03:37:37
    • Settled
    USD 40.00

    Will construction litigation increase in California in 2014 as compared to 2013?

  • The number of litigation filings in California in 2013 will be considered. Trends will be considered and predicted for 2014.
    • Last:
    • Active
    USD 0.00

    Will shampoo and conditioner ever really fix damaged hair?

  • long term research
    • Last: Oct. 7, 2018, 16:49:12
    • Settled
    USD 0.00

    Who will be the winner of 'Pacquiao vs. Bradley 2'?

  • The officially-announced result of this fight will be binding for the judgment of this question.
    • Last: April 15, 2014, 03:45:40
    • Settled
    USD 0.00

    How many rounds will 'Pacquiao vs. Bradley 2' last?

  • "It will go the full distance" implies either a decision result or a no contest/disqualification/forfeiture after the fight is over. Any other result (e.g. a knockout, No Contest or disqualification between rounds 1-12) will be judged as having ended on the round where the result occurred. If the fight is cancelled or postponed, the question will be cancelled
    • Last: April 15, 2014, 03:44:34
    • Settled
    USD 0.00

    Which team will win the 2014 PBA Commissioner's Cup?

  • The official result sanctioned by the Philippine Basketball Association (PBA) at the end of this conference will be binding. The "None" answer captures the unlikely event that no team wins the championship. This could be due to a number of extraneous variables, ranging from the cancellation of key games due to weather calamities, or the forfeiture of the entire conference in favor of Philippine Team (SMART Gilas) practices in preparation for the FIBA Basketball World Cup, among other reasons.
    • Last: May 16, 2014, 02:12:40
    • Settled
    USD 100.00
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