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What will Amazon's Q1 diluted Earnings Per Share (EPS) be when they release their Q1 earnings repor...

  • We will use https://ir.aboutamazon.com/quarterly-results/default.aspx or the consensus report from other sites if Amazon doesn't upload quickly. The diluted EPS is typically included on the first page of the Amazon Earnings report. NASDAQ projects Amazon to announce their Q1 earnings report on April 25th as that matches up with their timeline in the past. If Amazon does not report their Q1 earnings by April 25th, the market will expire as <0. If Amazon reports their Q1 earnings before April 25th, any trades made after the announcement will be voided. Background: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/analysis/?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAF2Vz564sJmjPyktyXFs7IlUKr58P79jJsIQZI7ma4QUnnrIJSd175tAHqOAuXOEMX_htsKus1gBYUEI_3KL22I0xLScRRmz9a5CpChJp3poZ0rCOcocIi2IBLwDGPnHsKQpOjL7wZJMlq4Dcf1H1hTvw7Jmfk903BPk56SAN-iT https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/amzn/earnings HT: Brennan for suggesting this
    • Last: May 3, 2024, 14:12:00
    • Settled
    USD 0.00

    Will Tesla have 100% self-driving a car driving on public roads by June 30th 2023?

  • Evidence provided on the official website or similar demonstrating the full use on roads.
    • Last: May 2, 2024, 23:32:00
    • Active
    USD 0.00

    Who will win the SEC's lawsuit against Ripple Labs?

  • On 22 December 2020, the United States Securities and Exchange Commissions filed a complaint against Ripple Labs Inc,. Christian Larsen, and Bradley Garlinghouse with allegations of selling a "digital assets security" without registering this sale with the SEC. The question shall be judged according to the outcome of the first court judgement, irrespective of appeals.
    • Last: May 2, 2024, 23:30:01
    • Active
    USD 20.00

    What will the court rule in the case of Oscar Pistorius, the Blade Runner, who shot and killed his ...

  • First trial result, before any appeals, after bail hearing. If convicted of multiple charges, the one carrying the highest prison term will be judged as the Final Answer.
    • Last: April 29, 2024, 15:40:01
    • Settled
    USD 100.00

    Which developed country will have the highest level of entrepreneurship in 2025, and why?

  • The prediction question shall be judged by the 2025 edition of the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM) for the countries with a GDP greater US$40,000. The relevant indicator shall be GEM's Total Early Entrepreneurship Activity (TEA) which is the percentage of adults claiming to be actively engaged in starting a new business.
    • Last: April 29, 2024, 15:37:52
    • Active
    USD 40.00

    Will global warming reach +1.5°C by 2030, and why?

  • The question will be judged by the global temperature anomaly in 2030, defined as the change to "pre-industrial levels" of the average of land and ocean temperatures, as reported by the NOAA's annual Global Climate Report or a similarly authoritative source.
    • Last: April 29, 2024, 15:37:00
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    USD 10.00

    What will be the outcome of the Russo-Ukrainian war of 2022?

  • The question will be judged by the closest realised one of the five scenarios defined in an article from April 2022: "Appraising the war in Ukraine and likely outcomes" as published by the Foreign Policy Research Institute.
    • Last: April 29, 2024, 15:34:01
    • Active
    USD 40.00

    Bitcoin: What will the price of 1 BTC be in U.S. Dollar at 3:30pm ET on 30 April 2024?

  • We will use https://www.coinbase.com/charts to resolve.
    • Last: April 26, 2024, 15:49:33
    • Settled
    USD 0.00

    What was the average forecast of ECN 345 students of the (pre-curve) grade on the final?

  • Based on 4/25 class survey
    • Last: April 26, 2024, 13:42:00
    • Settled
    USD 0.00

    In the last week of April, how many days will the TSA checkpoint travel numbers exceed the value fr...

  • The official source with current numbers and prior year numbers is listed here: https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes We will consider values for the week of 24-30 April 2024. If any day has a tie with the prior year or there is no reported value for that day prior to the end of the semester, than that day will be considered as a No. HT: Akshak for suggesting this topic.
    • Last: April 26, 2024, 08:07:06
    • Settled
    USD 0.00

    Will Taylor Swift's next album (‘The Tortured Poets Department’) break the all-time record for debu...

  • The album will be released 19 April. Weekly charts are typically tracked from Friday to Thursday (new music is released by the music industry to the American market on Fridays). A new chart is published the following Tuesday, The current debut week record for streams is 776,481,256: Taylor Swift, Midnights (3am Edition) in 2022.. Note I have also seen 785,253,075 as the total, but we will use the first value. Expiry notes: I think the stream totals are just for Spotify. I will look for a source that also lists the 776M toral above to make things comparable. The Other category will occur if there are no totals by the end of the semester. If the totals come out before the expiry time and the market is not expired in a timely fashion, bets made after the outcome is known will be refunded. We will rely on an established public source: some sites we may use are: https://kworb.net/spotify/artist/06HL4z0CvFAxyc27GXpf02_albums.html https://chartmasters.org/spotify-top-album-debuts/?view=country&country_code2=WW https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Spotify_streaming_records Sources: https://www.grammy.com/news/taylor-swift-tortured-poets-department-album-release-date-details https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Billboard_200 https://gitnux.org/taylor-swift-songs-streaming/ HT: Carly for suggesting this topic
    • Last: April 25, 2024, 19:43:49
    • Settled
    USD 0.00

    Will the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil exceed $85 per barrel at the end of April?

  • See Wiki
    • Last: April 25, 2024, 18:34:07
    • Settled
    USD 0.00

    Will Winston-Salem have a wetter than average April 2024?

  • The Wiki contains details on how the market will be expired.
    • Last: April 25, 2024, 12:44:58
    • Settled
    USD 0.00

    What percentage of ECN 345 students have cheated on a graded exam in college?

  • Based on 4/23 class survey
    • Last: April 25, 2024, 12:25:02
    • Settled
    USD 0.00

    Who will win the 2024 FIDE Candidates Chess Tournaments 2024?

  • https://www.chess.com/article/view/who-will-win-the-candidates-tournament https://www.chess.com/events/2024-fide-candidates-chess-tournament The Candidates tournament will take place 3-23 April 2024. The winner of the competition will compete for the World Chess Championship Title, currently help by Ding Liren, later this year. There are eight candidates who will be competing in the men’s chess championship. The "Other" outcome will payoff is another candidate besides those listed wins or therfe is no winner on 23 April. HT: Akshak for suggesting this market!
    • Last: April 21, 2024, 21:03:20
    • Settled
    USD 0.00

    What will be the value of the S&P 500 when the NYSE closes on 19 April 2024?

  • https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC
    • Last: April 19, 2024, 08:20:45
    • Settled
    USD 0.00

    Who will get the Second (final) Wildcard Spot in the Eastern Conference of the NHL Playoffs?

  • This will be for the wildcard team with fewest points. So it omits the three top teams in each division + the higher point wildcard team. Other will pay off if an unlisted team gets this slot or there is no declared second second wildcard (eg playoffs are cancelled). Although the regular season ends on April 18th, should a team clinch the second wildcard position, all trading after that time will be refunded. The expiry time may also be revised if game times change (and some bets may need to be refunded). There is more info in the Wiki HT: Garret for suggesting this question
    • Last: April 17, 2024, 10:52:31
    • Settled
    USD 0.00

    Will a second trailer for "A Quiet Place: Day One" be released before the end of the semester?

  • So far there is one trailer released. We will include a new teaser or trailer so long as it differs in a substantiative way from the initial trailer. We will use the HSX site below as the official source but will use other reliable sources if available. if the trailer comes out and the market is not resolved in a timely fashion, trades after the release time will be refunded. The movie will be released either 26 or 28 June 2024. https://www.hsx.com/security/view/AQPL3 https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt13433802/?ref_=bo_se_r_1
    • Last: April 16, 2024, 10:31:26
    • Settled
    USD 0.00

    Will the opening weekend domestic box office gross of Civil War exceed $25 million?

  • See the wiki.
    • Last: April 12, 2024, 18:13:05
    • Settled
    USD 0.00

    Will the opening weekend domestic box office gross of "Untitled M. Night Shyamalan Project" exceed ...

  • See the wiki.
    • Last: April 5, 2024, 15:46:42
    • Settled
    USD 0.00
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