Which developed country will have the highest level of entrepreneurship in 2025, and why?

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§ Judgement rule

How will the final result of the question be determined?

The prediction question shall be judged by the 2025 edition of the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM) for the countries with a GDP greater US$40,000. The relevant indicator shall be GEM's Total Early Entrepreneurship Activity (TEA) which is the percentage of adults claiming to be actively engaged in starting a new business.
Reference date: Dec. 31, 2025, 24:00 CET

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Wiki article

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The Global Entrepreneurship Monitor 2022 (GEM-22) offers evidence on entrepreneurial activity, based on respondents' claims in extensive interviews in 2021 with some 150,000 individuals across 50 different economies, which together represent around 68% of global Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and 45% of the world’s population [1].

Ranking for 2021

Canada, Saudi Arabia, and the United States of America had the highest number of people claiming an entrepreneurial activity during the 2021 interviews. Norway, Italy, and Japan came last.

Will Canada be able to keep its #1 rank? Entrepreneurship in Developed Countries (2022) - Copyright: Prediki based on GEM 21/22

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This question's prize money is split: one half is settled according to the actuals of the GEM 2025 report and half goes to the best "influencers" based on Prediki prices on 31st December 2025. So, make sure to hype "your" trade so that its price rises before then.

Sources

  1. Global Entrepreneurship Monitor's 2022 report
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Countdown to final result March 31, 2026, 18:00:00 2026/03/31 24:00 CEST