WFU PM Spring 2025

These contracts are intended for students in the Wake Forest Prediction Markets Course. We would appreciate if other traders refrain from making transactions or commenting.

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Will the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil exceed $75 per barrel at the end of April 2025?

No (77%)

Views: 147
Transactions: 23
Messages: 0
Traders: 16

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Will Eric Adams become a Republican before the end of the semester?

No (91%)

Views: 271
Transactions: 44
Messages: 5
Traders: 20

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Bitcoin: What will the price of 1 BTC be in U.S. Dollar at 3:30pm ET on 30 April 2025?

[90000,95000) (40%)

Views: 672
Transactions: 320
Messages: 0
Traders: 19

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Will Winston-Salem have a wetter than average April 2025?

No (63%)

Views: 345
Transactions: 118
Messages: 6
Traders: 16

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Testing market? No prediction yet

Views: 223
Transactions: 0
Messages: 0
Traders: 0

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Trading suspended

What will Professor Strumpf's average teaching evaluation be for ECON 345?

[4,4.5) (34%)

Views: 1,155
Transactions: 430
Messages: 14
Traders: 23

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Will TikTok US be sold by the end of the semester?

No (84%)

Views: 709
Transactions: 131
Messages: 10
Traders: 23

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Closed questions

Will President Trump increase tariffs on China by the end of the semester?

Yes (83%)

Views: 483
Transactions: 62
Messages: 1
Traders: 19

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

What will be the value of the S&P 500 when the NYSE closes on 7 February 2025?

[6000,6250) (73%)

Views: 901
Transactions: 101
Messages: 12
Traders: 20

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Will Wake Forest Men's Basketball team be selected for the 2025 NCAA Tournament (aka March Madness)?

No (87%)

Views: 1,512
Transactions: 171
Messages: 28
Traders: 25

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

What will be the top Netflix show for the US chart published 22 April 2025?

Black Mirror: Season 7 (30%)

Views: 194
Transactions: 65
Messages: 0
Traders: 9

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

What will be the top Netflix show for the US chart published 15 April 2025?

Gone Girls: The Long Island Serial Killer: Season 1 (43%)

Views: 365
Transactions: 95
Messages: 2
Traders: 13

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

What will be the average Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer for Mickey 17 on its US release day?

[80,85) (72%)

Views: 764
Transactions: 292
Messages: 3
Traders: 21

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Will the opening weekend domestic box office gross of Snow White (2025) exceed $50 million?

No (77%)

Views: 272
Transactions: 58
Messages: 5
Traders: 15

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Bitcoin: What will the price of 1 BTC be in U.S. Dollar at 3:30pm ET on 28 February 2025?

<90000 (81%)

Views: 1,144
Transactions: 219
Messages: 6
Traders: 20

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

What will be the top Netflix show for the US chart published 1 April 2025?

Adolescence: Limited Series (68%)

Views: 280
Transactions: 75
Messages: 3
Traders: 11

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

What will be the value of the S&P 500 when the NYSE closes on 21 February 2025?

[6000,6250) (72%)

Views: 408
Transactions: 38
Messages: 0
Traders: 14

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Will the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil exceed $75 per barrel at the end of February 2025?

No (88%)

Views: 427
Transactions: 55
Messages: 2
Traders: 19

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

What will the average percentage score be on the ECN 345 midterm (without the curve)?

41-60% (52%)

Views: 408
Transactions: 68
Messages: 3
Traders: 18

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

What percentage of ECN 345 students have cheated on a graded exam in college?

(20,40] (32%)

Views: 98
Transactions: 30
Messages: 0
Traders: 9

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Will Winston-Salem have a wetter than average February 2025?

Yes (82%)

Views: 519
Transactions: 71
Messages: 11
Traders: 17

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Which movie will win the Best Picture Oscar at the 97th Academy Awards?

Anora (56%)

Views: 1,093
Transactions: 302
Messages: 25
Traders: 21

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Will the opening weekend domestic box office gross of A Minecraft Movie exceed $75 million?

Yes (75%)

Views: 267
Transactions: 70
Messages: 3
Traders: 15

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Bitcoin: What will the price of 1 BTC be in U.S. Dollar at 3:30pm ET on 31 March 2025?

[80000,85000) (77%)

Views: 964
Transactions: 376
Messages: 3
Traders: 18

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

How many seats will the AfD party win in the 2/23/2025 German federal elections (to elect the 21st Bundestag)?

[100,150) (63%)

Views: 450
Transactions: 87
Messages: 3
Traders: 16

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

What will be the top Netflix movie for the US chart published 25 February 2025?

Other (57%)

Views: 241
Transactions: 39
Messages: 3
Traders: 12

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

What will be the value of the S&P 500 when the NYSE closes on 4 April 2025?

<5250 (64%)

Views: 645
Transactions: 266
Messages: 2
Traders: 18

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

What percentage of ECN 345 students have downloaded a movie from a file sharing network in the last year?

(60,80) (26%)

Views: 267
Transactions: 131
Messages: 5
Traders: 13

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

What will be the value of the S&P 500 when the NYSE closes on 21 March 2025?

[5500,5750) (76%)

Views: 532
Transactions: 187
Messages: 1
Traders: 14

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Will the opening weekend domestic box office gross of Captain America: Brave New World exceed $100 million?

No (65%)

Views: 624
Transactions: 66
Messages: 5
Traders: 24

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Will the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil exceed $75 per barrel at the end of March 2025?

No (82%)

Views: 214
Transactions: 30
Messages: 0
Traders: 17

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Who will be the winner of the 67th Grammy Award for Album of the Year?

"HIT ME HARD AND SOFT" + Billie Eilish (44%)

Views: 664
Transactions: 75
Messages: 7
Traders: 14

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

What percent of ECN 345 students brought a copy of the assigned readings to class on 2/25?

(80,100] (67%)

Views: 183
Transactions: 24
Messages: 1
Traders: 12

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Which team will win Superbowl LIX??

Philadelphia Eagles (74%)

Views: 883
Transactions: 189
Messages: 11
Traders: 24

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

What will be the value of the S&P 500 when the NYSE closes on 18 April 2025?

[5250,5500) (70%)

Views: 447
Transactions: 225
Messages: 1
Traders: 15

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Will the opening weekend domestic box office gross of Companion exceed $10 million?

Yes (63%)

Views: 369
Transactions: 28
Messages: 2
Traders: 12

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Will Winston-Salem have a wetter than average March 2025?

No (79%)

Views: 564
Transactions: 128
Messages: 6
Traders: 18

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

What will be the value of the S&P 500 when the NYSE closes on 7 March 2025?

[5750,6000) (43%)

Views: 694
Transactions: 204
Messages: 5
Traders: 16

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Which team will win the 2025 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament (March Madness)?

Houston (43%)

Views: 723
Transactions: 379
Messages: 9
Traders: 26

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Will USAID cease to exist by the end of the semester?

No (78%)

Views: 469
Transactions: 100
Messages: 2
Traders: 23

USD 0

Upcoming	USD 0
Active	USD 0
Settled	USD 0
Total	USD 0

Topic debate New comment

Top 5 experts (Ranking)	Credits
1. WFU_Scrooge McDuck 525,306.99
2. WFU_ 345 459,594.85
3. WFU_ Burry 272,439.86
4. WFU_Larry Bird 219,588.03
5. WFU_Venett L. 181,237.55

Topic management
Koleman Strumpf

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40 Questions

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WFU PM Spring 2025

Trading suspended

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