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Crowdsourcing: What percentage level of interest will Prediction Markets reach by 2020 compared to Market Research, and why?

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Please check if any final result proposed here has really happened. Is there a reliable source for this information? Is the proposed cut-off date before the time when the final result became certain beyond reasonable doubt? Did the trader proposing the final result refrain from cheating with quick last trades? If these checks are positive, please vote "Yes" for settlement else "No".
§ Judgement rule
This prediction question shall be judged by the ratio of Google search traffic for "Prediction Markets" divided by that for "Market Research". Search traffic shall be calculated for the last full calendar month before the ESOMAR Congress 2020.
Reference date: Aug. 31, 2020, 24:00 CEST
  • Prediki Predictions, Platform Operator
    Proposed result 1 accepted on 2022/09/12 10:14:56

    Proposed result:
    10 - 20%
    Trading cut-off:
    2020/09/14 18:00:00
    Google Trends search for the timeframe 2010 to 2020, closing August 2020, shows that the proportion of searches for prediction markets has triples since 2016. See chart in Wiki. ...more
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