How many OECD countries will have drone delivery services by 2020?

Follow |   337
Recruiting
  1. Welcome. First, let us explain the four tasks in each question. This button will later bring you to the wiki with some background information to the question. Now please click the blue arrow > to continue.
  2. This button will show you the exact judgement rule which specifies how the question will be settled and the winner determined. You must accept the rule to unlock trading.
  3. Clicking here will open the trading section where you can then buy and sell predictions using your virtual credits.
  4. The last button will bring you to the market talk section. Try to convince other traders of your predictions with a good argument.
  5. The better your predictions are compared to other traders, the higher will be your share of the incentive.
  1. Welcome! First, please click the “book” icon to jump to a question's information wiki.
  1. Great! Now please click here to check the exact judgement rule.
  1. Now, let’s do your first trade together. Please click here.
  1. Last task: Now convince other traders of your answer to push its price.
  1. When finished, click here to proceed to the next question.
  2. Click here to return to the previous question.
  3. Click here to jump to any question directly.
  4. Continue to trade, talk, or rate before proceeding to the next question.
  • No questions for this search term
  1. This is how the question will be judged in the end, when the final outcome becomes known.
  2. This is the precise date or end of the period to which the question refers.
  3. After reading the judgement rule, please click here.
Close

§ Judgement rule

How will the final result of the question be determined?

Modify Final result
This prediction question shall be judged by the number of OECD countries which have at least one active privately-owned commercial drone delivery service in 2020. For the avoidance of doubt, defunct or closed services do not count, neither do government owned or operated services.
Reference date: Dec. 31, 2020, 24:00 CET

Answer options

Widget Price
● None
4.80 %
● 1
3.43 %
● 2
0.15 %
● 3 to 5
73.16 %
● 6 to 10
16.02 %
● 11 to 17
0.97 %
● 18 to 34 (more than half)
1.15 %
● 35 (all)
0.30 %

Price trend

Transactions
  1. Study the background information carefully.
  2. Read the background information carefully, before proceeding.

Wiki article

Edit

Drone Delivery Services

Commercial flying robots can already deliver postal packages, food, blood, or medical supplies. Some believe they may soon do so as regularly as the post. Is this likely to happen?

DHL Delivery Drone - Copyright: Fair Use

Latest developments

In Germany, DHL has built a totally automated system to deliver packages, such as medical supplies, between two remote villages in the Swiss Alps. People can visit a DHL "Skyports" location where it stores the drones, insert their package into a box, and input a code that attaches the package to a drone and activates it [1].

Amazon Prime is developing ‘Prime Air’, a drone delivery service for small packages to destinations close to Amazon logistics centres. Testing centres are currently located in the US, UK, Austria and Israel [2].

In July, drone company Flirtey partnered with 7Eleven to test the delivery of food and drinks to a private residence 1 mile away [3]. In August, Flirtey carried out further testing, delivering Domino’s pizza in New Zealand. Flirtey CEO Matt Sweeney, expects to be regularly servicing customers by late 2017 [4].

US drone company Zipline is delivering blood in Rwanda, dropping blood parcels to remote health centers. Health workers can request a blood drop via text message, and it arrives around 30 minutes later [5].

Issues

Regulations and laws will need adaptation for the many emerging types of Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) for private and commercial uses. Overly restrictive rules may stifle innovation but privacy and liability risks will need due consideration, too. Safety and reliability will affect demand and public opinion [6].

  1. Amazon could learn something from DHL's drone delivery program - Business Insider, 20/05/2016
  2. Amazon Prime Air www.amazon.com
  3. 7-Eleven just made the first commercial delivery by drone - theverge.com
  4. Drone pizza delivery is just the tip of the robotic restaurant revolution - New York Post, 24/10/2016
  5. Rwanda Is Using Drones To Deliver Blood Donations To Remote Health Centers - Huffington Post, 14/10/2016
  6. Droning on: the challenges facing drone delivery - www.alphr.com

Topics

Assign
  1. Offering the reason for your trade may convince other traders to follow your opinion.
  2. Click '+' if you agree, or '–' to disagree. You get a credit for every rating you make.
  3. For each '+' the author will get +100 credits added to his trading account .
  4. If you rate a comment with "-", please reply and state your objection.
  5. Now please rate, reply, or write your own comment. Best of luck!

Reasons and arguments Analyze

USD 100
Total prize money
Top 5 participants (Ranking) Credits
1. Gerhard H. 803,671.04
2. Ace David Draheim WARNING! 377,507.42
3. Balarama S Ardianto 57,010.80
4. Daniel R. 55,436.58
5. dadan dani 54,470.83
Photo Prediki Predictions
Question owner:
Prediki Predictions
  • 12,416 Views
  • 243 Messages
  • 1,307 Transactions
This question has 337 followers