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Will Joe Biden be a good President, and why?

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  1. Study the background information carefully.
  2. Read the background information carefully, before proceeding.

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Joe Biden - Copyright: Gage Skidmore | Wikimedia CommonsBackground

For objectivity, this question will be judged by Biden's approval rating after his 1st term, compared to that all prior presidents' since 1945. So, you must focus on the full four year term.

As always, please read the judgement rule § carefully before doing your trade or posting your argument.


Indicator of Presidential Quality

FivethirtyEight, Nate Silver

Nate Silver modelled a combined presidential approval rating from several research institutes, intending to eliminate partisan bias.

Rank President Start 538
1st Term
1 Dwight Eisenhower 1953 78.1
2 Ronald Reagan 1981 62.0
3 Bill Clinton 1993 58.8
4 John Kennedy 1961 58.2
5 Harry Truman 1945 57.2
6 George H.W. Bush 1989 54.7
7 Richard Nixon 1969 51.7
8 Gerald Ford 1974 51.5
9 Barack Obama 2009 51.4
10 George W. Bush 2001 50.1
11 Lyndon Johnson 1963 42.1
12 Donald Trump (as of 8th Jan 2021) 2016 41.9
13 Jimmy Carter 1977 33.7

Source: 538

 Biden's 538 1st term approval rating will result in the following verbal ratings:

  • Very good: 58,8% or more
  • Good: 57.2% to 58.7%
  • Average: 51.5% to 57.1%
  • Bad: 42.2% to 51.4%
  • Very bad: 42.1% or less

Sources

  1. Gallup: Presidential Approval Ratings
  2. Gallup: Presidential Job Approval Center
  3. 538: How popular is Donald Trump?