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Will New Demarchy produce better policy impact forecasts than professional politicians already in 2016?

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Transactions by Adin System

Amounts in Credits
Timestamp Answer option Long (for) Short (against) Shares Price % P&L (in Credits)
Total 4,175.39 0.00 -4,175.39
2018/09/11 13:31:01   T Slightly better (PI +5 to +10 %) 4,000.00 - 21,712.05 18.42 -4,000.00
2018/09/11 13:32:34   T Equal (PI +/- 5 %) 3,000.00 - 37,134.39 8.08 -3,000.00
2018/09/11 13:33:12   T A lot better (PI +30 to +50 %) 2,000.00 - 60,426.32 3.31 -2,000.00
2018/09/11 13:33:44   T Better (PI +10 to +20 %) 1,000.00 - 3,465.15 28.86 -1,000.00
2018/12/01 13:44:30   T Equal (PI +/- 5 %) -1,977.81 - -37,134.39 5.33 +1,977.81
2018/12/01 13:44:56   T Slightly better (PI +5 to +10 %) -2,603.74 - -21,712.05 11.99 +2,603.74
2018/12/01 13:45:47   T A lot better (PI +30 to +50 %) 4,581.55 - 35,349.77 12.96 -4,581.55
2018/12/01 13:46:48   T A lot better (PI +30 to +50 %) -9,610.88 - -95,776.09 10.03 +9,610.88
2018/12/01 13:47:16   T A lot better (PI +30 to +50 %) 4,000.00 - 50,592.00 7.91 -4,000.00
2018/12/01 13:47:47   T Significantly better (PI +20 to +30 %) 2,000.00 - 7,836.30 25.52 -2,000.00
2020/01/11 03:23:52   S Better (PI +10 to +20 %) -1,063.01 - -3,465.15 30.68 +1,063.01
2020/01/11 03:23:52   S Significantly better (PI +20 to +30 %) -292.68 - -7,836.30 3.73 +292.68
2020/01/11 03:23:52   S A lot better (PI +30 to +50 %) -858.04 - -50,592.00 1.70 +858.04
O=Opening valuation, M=Market valuation, C=Closing valuation, T=Trade, R=Reversal, S=Settlement