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Will Scotland vote Yes or No to upcoming referendum which will ask "should Scotland be an independent country?"?

Transaction logbook for Florian Harth

Timestamp Answer option Long (for) Short (against) Shares Price % Action IP (masked)
2014/09/22 06:28:41 S No: Less than 45% -20,950.94 - -20,950.94 100.00 Final settlement
2014/09/19 15:06:29 T No: Less than 45% 9,933.22 - 20,950.94 47.41 Bought GFsSKvR_
2014/09/19 02:04:08 T Yes: 50 to 55% -1,911.66 - 6,831.26 27.98 Sold j3YpdTVS
2014/09/18 12:51:14 T Yes: 55% or more -5,023.05 - 20,995.59 23.92 Sold j3YpdTVS
2014/08/27 16:35:24 T Yes: 55% or more 3,001.49 - 12,174.19 24.65 Bought ioATzv5D
2014/08/26 02:27:45 T Yes: 55% or more 2,500.00 - 8,821.39 28.34 Bought xzbeAb4O
2014/08/22 15:59:09 T Yes: 50 to 55% 1,500.00 - 6,831.26 21.96 Bought OE5GJQFe
O=Opening valuation, M=Market valuation, C=Closing valuation, T=Trade, R=Reversal, S=Settlement