Will Scotland vote Yes or No to upcoming referendum which will ask "should Scotland be an independent country?"?

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§ Judgement rule

How will the final result of the question be determined?

Results of referendum will be freely available, will either be Yes or No
Reference date: Sept. 18, 2014, 24:00 IST

Answer options

Widget Price
 Yes: 55% or more
16.20 %
 Yes: 50 to 55%
12.86 %
 No: 45 to 50%
17.57 %
 No: Less than 45%
53.34 %

Price trend

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Wiki article


Flag map of Scotland - Copyright: Wikimedia users: NordNordWest, Kbolino, Fry1989

Recent Developments

The Economist reports pro-union forces ahead and discusses the potential impact of undecided voters towards a Yes-vote. [1]

Two polls just two weeks before the referendum point to narrowing gap: [3]

  • The Sunday Times even sees Yes ahead with 51 vs 49 % with a 2 % margin of error. However, the same research institue, Yougov, saw a gap of 22 % just one month before which raises some questions about reliability of their forecasts.
  • At the same time, a poll by ‘Yes Scotland’ itself still sees "No" leading with 52% to 48% but also points to a close result.

The outcome

CNN reports 55.35% for No and 44.65% for Yes with a very high participation of 84.6 %. [4]

Third party sources



  1. Ayes to the left - The Economist, 1 February 2014
  2. The Guardian: Scottish independence: the essential guide
  3. YouGov poll suggests majority in favour of Scottish independence - RTE News, 07 September 2014
  4. Scotland votes 'no' to independence in historic referendum - CNN, 19 September 2014
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Reasons and arguments Analyze

Question owner:
Mickey Pierce
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