This is how the question will be judged in the end, when the final outcome becomes known.
This is the precise date or end of the period to which the question refers.
After reading the judgement rule, please click here.
§ Judgement rule
How will the final result of the question be determined?
● Very bad
● Very good
Study the background information carefully.
Read the background information carefully, before proceeding.
For objectivity, this question will be judged by Trump's approval rating after his 1st term, compared to that all prior presidents' since 1945. So, you must focus on Trumps full four year term. As always, please read the judgement rule § carefully before doing your trade or posting your argument.
Indicator of Presidential Quality
FivethirtyEight, Nate Silver (Agreed Judgement Source)
Nate Silver modelled a combined presidential approval rating from several research institutes, intending to eliminate partisan bias.
|6||George H.W. Bush||1989||54.7|
|10||George W. Bush||2001||50.1|
Since the Prediki community voted 93% for a judgement rule change from Gallup to a combined source, Trump's 538 1st term approval rating will result in the following verbal ratings:
- Very good: 58,8% or more
- Good: 54.7% to 58.7%
- Average: 51.8% to 54.6%
- Bad: 50.2% to 51.7%
- Very bad: 50.1% or less
Gallup (obsolete judgment source)
The most accessible indicator of a presidential standing for the 12 U.S. presidents since 1953 is Gallup's bi-weekly approval/disapproval survey.  The table below shows the last approval rating for each president at the end of his first term (for Lyndon Johnson after 1400 days in office).
Table: Presidential Approval Score At the End of Their First Term (Sorted)
|7||George W. Bush||2001||53||29||62|
|10||George H.W. Bush||1989||49||49||61|
The re-election campaign gives most incumbent presidents some uplift around the end of the first term. Gallup's time series chart is recommended reading to understand these dynamics. 
According to the data above, the following Gallup approval ratings were the original source:
- Very good: 58% or more
- Good: 57%
- Average: 54 to 56%
- Bad: 50 to 53%
- Very bad: 49% or less
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