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Will Scotland vote Yes or No to upcoming referendum which will ask "should Scotland be an independent country?"?

Transaction logbook for Jared Bagley

Timestamp Answer option Long (for) Short (against) Shares Price % Action IP (masked)
2014/09/22 06:28:41 S No: Less than 45% -12,602.78 - -12,602.78 100.00 Final settlement
2014/09/22 06:28:41 S No: 45 to 50% 0.00 - -11,683.68 0.00 Final settlement
2014/09/22 06:28:41 S Yes: 50 to 55% 0.00 - -8,564.05 0.00 Final settlement
2014/09/18 22:12:23 T No: Less than 45% 2,490.76 - 12,602.78 19.76 Bought QkX0YNq4
2014/09/18 22:12:01 T No: Less than 45% - -2,490.76 -3,055.47 18.48 Sold QkX0YNq4
2014/09/18 22:11:10 T No: 45 to 50% 3,825.44 - 11,683.68 32.74 Bought QkX0YNq4
2014/09/18 22:11:03 T Yes: 55% or more -3,825.44 - 18,830.70 20.31 Sold QkX0YNq4
2014/09/12 11:36:15 T No: Less than 45% - 2,500.00 3,055.47 18.18 Bought nm9WA2ZQ
2014/09/12 11:36:08 T Yes: 55% or more 5,000.00 - 18,830.70 26.55 Bought nm9WA2ZQ
2014/09/12 11:36:03 T Yes: 50 to 55% 2,500.00 - 8,564.05 29.19 Bought nm9WA2ZQ
O=Opening valuation, M=Market valuation, C=Closing valuation, T=Trade, R=Reversal, S=Settlement