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Will global warming reach +1.5°C by 2030, and why?

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§ Judgement rule
The question will be judged by the global temperature anomaly in 2030, defined as the change to "pre-industrial levels" of the average of land and ocean temperatures, as reported by the NOAA's annual Global Climate Report or a similarly authoritative source.
Reference date: Dec. 31, 2030, 24:00 GMT

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