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What was the average forecast of ECN 345 students of the (pre-curve) grade on the final?

  • Based on 4/25 class survey
    • Last: April 28, 2024, 15:48:25
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    USD 0.00

    Will Russia and Ukraine sign or announce an agreement to end the current conflict in Ukraine by the...

  • Russia's war in Ukraine continues, though Russia floated the idea of talks on the "post-conflict settlement" of the war in October 2023 (https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2023/11/13/vladimir-putin-cannot-keep-funding-his-war-for-ever). A signed or announced agreement must be acknowledged by both Russia and Ukraine to count. The Ukrainian government as recognized by the European Union must be party to the agreement to count. An armistice or a ceasefire of indefinite duration would count and must include the whole of Ukraine. Time-limited agreements (e.g., 72-hour ceasefire) would not count. The date an agreement would take effect is immaterial.
    • Last: April 28, 2024, 15:47:53
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    Bitcoin: What will the price of 1 BTC be in U.S. Dollar at 3:30pm ET on 30 April 2024?

  • We will use https://www.coinbase.com/charts to resolve.
    • Last: April 28, 2024, 12:45:43
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    Will a second trailer for "A Quiet Place: Day One" be released before the end of the semester?

  • So far there is one trailer released. We will include a new teaser or trailer so long as it differs in a substantiative way from the initial trailer. We will use the HSX site below as the official source but will use other reliable sources if available. if the trailer comes out and the market is not resolved in a timely fashion, trades after the release time will be refunded. The movie will be released either 26 or 28 June 2024. https://www.hsx.com/security/view/AQPL3 https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt13433802/?ref_=bo_se_r_1
    • Last: April 28, 2024, 12:44:08
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    Will the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil exceed $85 per barrel at the end of April?

  • See Wiki
    • Last: April 26, 2024, 21:58:53
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    In the last week of April, how many days will the TSA checkpoint travel numbers exceed the value fr...

  • The official source with current numbers and prior year numbers is listed here: https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes We will consider values for the week of 24-30 April 2024. If any day has a tie with the prior year or there is no reported value for that day prior to the end of the semester, than that day will be considered as a No. HT: Akshak for suggesting this topic.
    • Last: April 26, 2024, 21:55:29
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    Will global warming reach +1.5°C by 2030, and why?

  • The question will be judged by the global temperature anomaly in 2030, defined as the change to "pre-industrial levels" of the average of land and ocean temperatures, as reported by the NOAA's annual Global Climate Report or a similarly authoritative source.
    • Last: April 26, 2024, 19:04:47
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    USD 10.00

    What will Professor Strumpf's average teaching evaluation be for ECON 345?

  • This will be based on the survey in the last class (1 May 2024) which will use a five point scale: increasing values mean better evaluations
    • Last: April 26, 2024, 09:55:55
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    Will Winston-Salem have a wetter than average April 2024?

  • The Wiki contains details on how the market will be expired.
    • Last: April 25, 2024, 16:53:13
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    USD 0.00

    Will Taylor Swift's next album (‘The Tortured Poets Department’) break the all-time record for debu...

  • The album will be released 19 April. Weekly charts are typically tracked from Friday to Thursday (new music is released by the music industry to the American market on Fridays). A new chart is published the following Tuesday, The current debut week record for streams is 776,481,256: Taylor Swift, Midnights (3am Edition) in 2022.. Note I have also seen 785,253,075 as the total, but we will use the first value. Expiry notes: I think the stream totals are just for Spotify. I will look for a source that also lists the 776M toral above to make things comparable. The Other category will occur if there are no totals by the end of the semester. If the totals come out before the expiry time and the market is not expired in a timely fashion, bets made after the outcome is known will be refunded. We will rely on an established public source: some sites we may use are: https://kworb.net/spotify/artist/06HL4z0CvFAxyc27GXpf02_albums.html https://chartmasters.org/spotify-top-album-debuts/?view=country&country_code2=WW https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Spotify_streaming_records Sources: https://www.grammy.com/news/taylor-swift-tortured-poets-department-album-release-date-details https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Billboard_200 https://gitnux.org/taylor-swift-songs-streaming/ HT: Carly for suggesting this topic
    • Last: April 25, 2024, 12:30:32
    • Settled
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    What percentage of ECN 345 students have cheated on a graded exam in college?

  • Based on 4/23 class survey
    • Last: April 25, 2024, 12:14:38
    • Settled
    USD 0.00

    What will Amazon's Q1 diluted Earnings Per Share (EPS) be when they release their Q1 earnings repor...

  • We will use https://ir.aboutamazon.com/quarterly-results/default.aspx or the consensus report from other sites if Amazon doesn't upload quickly. The diluted EPS is typically included on the first page of the Amazon Earnings report. NASDAQ projects Amazon to announce their Q1 earnings report on April 25th as that matches up with their timeline in the past. If Amazon does not report their Q1 earnings by April 25th, the market will expire as <0. If Amazon reports their Q1 earnings before April 25th, any trades made after the announcement will be voided. Background: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/analysis/?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAF2Vz564sJmjPyktyXFs7IlUKr58P79jJsIQZI7ma4QUnnrIJSd175tAHqOAuXOEMX_htsKus1gBYUEI_3KL22I0xLScRRmz9a5CpChJp3poZ0rCOcocIi2IBLwDGPnHsKQpOjL7wZJMlq4Dcf1H1hTvw7Jmfk903BPk56SAN-iT https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/amzn/earnings HT: Brennan for suggesting this
    • Last: April 23, 2024, 15:00:07
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    Who will win the 2024 FIDE Candidates Chess Tournaments 2024?

  • https://www.chess.com/article/view/who-will-win-the-candidates-tournament https://www.chess.com/events/2024-fide-candidates-chess-tournament The Candidates tournament will take place 3-23 April 2024. The winner of the competition will compete for the World Chess Championship Title, currently help by Ding Liren, later this year. There are eight candidates who will be competing in the men’s chess championship. The "Other" outcome will payoff is another candidate besides those listed wins or therfe is no winner on 23 April. HT: Akshak for suggesting this market!
    • Last: April 21, 2024, 20:50:00
    • Settled
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    What will be the value of the S&P 500 when the NYSE closes on 19 April 2024?

  • https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC
    • Last: April 19, 2024, 13:29:34
    • Settled
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    Who will get the Second (final) Wildcard Spot in the Eastern Conference of the NHL Playoffs?

  • This will be for the wildcard team with fewest points. So it omits the three top teams in each division + the higher point wildcard team. Other will pay off if an unlisted team gets this slot or there is no declared second second wildcard (eg playoffs are cancelled). Although the regular season ends on April 18th, should a team clinch the second wildcard position, all trading after that time will be refunded. The expiry time may also be revised if game times change (and some bets may need to be refunded). There is more info in the Wiki HT: Garret for suggesting this question
    • Last: April 16, 2024, 21:45:37
    • Settled
    USD 0.00

    What will be the outcome of the Russo-Ukrainian war of 2022?

  • The question will be judged by the closest realised one of the five scenarios defined in an article from April 2022: "Appraising the war in Ukraine and likely outcomes" as published by the Foreign Policy Research Institute.
    • Last: April 16, 2024, 14:38:47
    • Active
    USD 40.00

    How many artworks will Wake students purchase at auction as part of the 2024 Student-Acquired Conte...

  • Beginning in 1963, students under the direction of faculty advisors have traveled to New York City every four years to purchase contemporary art for the Mark H. Reece Collection of Student-Acquired Contemporary Art. This revered tradition has empowered three generations of students to amass a premier collection of contemporary art. As progressive and radical as it was in 1963, the students’ charge has remained consistent over six decades and 16 art-buying trips: to purchase artworks that reflect the times. Currently every three years a group of Wake Forest students travels to New York to purchase artwork. This was one of the years that students traveled to New York to purchase artwork and the reveal of what art the group bought is going to be on April 19th. How the market will expire: There is a live event for the reveal of what artwork was purchased on April 19th at 5:00 P.M. There is also going to be a recorded version. "Other" will pay off if the trip is canceled or there is no known outcome at the end of the semester Here the background on this unique Wake Forest event: - https://artcollections.wfu.edu/for-the-love-of-art/ - https://artcollectionswfu.pastperfectonline.com/AdvancedSearch?advanceSearchActivated=true&firstTimeSearch=true&searchcat_1=&searchcat_2=&searchcat_3=&searchcat_4=&searchcat_6=&searchcat_7=&searchcat_8=&searchcat_9=&searchcat_10=&searchcat_11=&searchcat_14=%22Mark+H.+Reece+Collection+of+Student-Acquired+Contemporary+Art%22&searchcat_15=&actionType=Search&CurrentPage=1 - https://news.wfu.edu/2021/04/29/wfu-student-art-purchases-unveiled/ - https://news.wfu.edu/2022/02/14/wake-forests-premier-art-collection-gets-a-new-name-and-lots-of-love/ There are N=599 items in the current collection (second link). The third link shows items purchased in the last trip in 2021. HT: Jason for suggesting this topic!
    • Last: April 14, 2024, 20:14:30
    • Settled
    USD 0.00

    Will the opening weekend domestic box office gross of Civil War exceed $25 million?

  • See the wiki.
    • Last: April 12, 2024, 20:59:34
    • Settled
    USD 0.00

    North Carolina will report at least one month with $100million in legal sports betting (handle) by ...

  • Legal mobile sports betting is scheduled to start in NC at noon on 11 march 2024. We will use Legal Sports Reports as our official source: https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting/revenue/ If there is a report from official NC sources then I will use that to expire. If there is a report which I do not see until far after publication, I reserve the right to expire the market at the time the report was issued (bets made after that time will be refunded). The market will expire as "No" if: -there are no months with the handle listed -no reports issued by the end of the semester -sports betting is delayed beyond the start of the semester
    • Last: April 11, 2024, 12:38:48
    • Settled
    USD 0.00

    Will the opening weekend domestic box office gross of "Untitled M. Night Shyamalan Project" exceed ...

  • See the wiki.
    • Last: April 5, 2024, 16:05:36
    • Settled
    USD 0.00
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