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A summary of Prediki's functions with starting points for relevant help pages. The talk section below is for general questions. If you have any specific questions about your participation, please write to support@prediki.com.

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Questions and answers

On Prediki, anybody may enter new questions about the future. Questions may be public or confidential for closed user groups. Prediki is designed for maximium openness, other participants can rephrase or modify a question, propose a better judgement rule or criteria and suggest additional answer options. Questions must be unique and objective i.e. always ask for a potential real-world outcome: "What will be?" or "What will be if ...?"

Incentives and winnings

When the question owner or an independent sponsor provide an incentive for a question, predictive and analytical activity starts. Knowledgeable and interested users may then trade the possible answers, using Prediki's free currency, Credits. The earlier or the more precise a user's predictions in relation to the final outcome, the larger such user's Credit winnings, thus share of the real-money incentive. Login is required for trading.

Predictions and analysis

An answer's current trading price represents the collective prediction, in essence summarising public opinion. Charts visualize current predictions and trends. Users can further contribute to the trading and predictive process by adding reliable information to the structured question wiki or commenting personal opinions with messages. All user-contributed content of public quesitions goes to the public domain under a creative commons license.

Topics and experts

All questions can be categorised by users with appropriate topics. By subscribing to topics, users may customise their news feeds and reveive e-mail notifications for new questions and incentives of interest. Last but not least, Prediki's algorithms constantly determine the leading experts for every topic, based upon each user's real-money winnings per topic.

Market and opinion researchers

Nowadays, professional researchers -- whether in agencies or corporations -- need research results faster than ever. Prediki not only offers a real-time dashboard charting quantitative results, it has fully integrated, near real-time qualitative analysis functions and automated reporting. Please contact us if you want to use powerful prediction market technology for your research projects.

Media partners

If you are an online news website: Become our media partner. Prediki will give you not only valuable real-time predictions for your website, but you can also earn additional revenue.

Cancelling your Prediki account

We are sorry to see you go. Here is how to cancel your account:

  1. Go to your Notification settings
  2. Tick the checkbox to "Disable all e-mail notifications."
  3. Then go to your Profile settings
  4. Un-check visibility in "Search Engines"
  5. Change your first and last name to "Account cancelled".

Providing feedback

If you have any questions or suggestions please write us an e-mail. You can also help improve most help pages: Either use the "Edit" function or discuss improvements in the "Message section" below.

Messages

  • sam sam

    手机收不到到验证码?发送验证码的功能用不了。

    • 13 hours, 27 minutes ago
    • Reply
  • yan li

    我昨天获得奖金10·18元美金,然后我通过PayPal提现,输入邮箱582610747@qq.com后没有收到任何反馈,请问我提现的钱在哪里?

    • 2 weeks, 3 days ago
    • Reply
    • Chloe Liu

      Yan Li 你好,Paypal稍后会直接给您发送到账确认邮件。如果3个工作日后仍未到账,请联系我们进行处理。

      • 2 weeks, 3 days ago
      • Reply
  • 学哲 田

    第一次注册,模拟交易很有意思,就是操作不是很明白,摸索中!

    • 3 weeks, 3 days ago
    • Reply
    • Chloe Liu

      感谢您的注册!每道预测题上方均有详细教程提醒,请根据提醒逐步进行操作。如果您对操作扔不熟悉,还可以点击页面右上角个人头像旁边的三角形按钮,选择个人档案设置-教程设置,勾选您需要的教程并保存设置。

      • 3 weeks, 2 days ago
      • Reply
    • Ashok Bhatia

      你有一些注册问题吗?

      • 3 weeks, 2 days ago
      • Reply
    • Ashok Bhatia

      你好
      我试图用中文

      • 3 weeks, 2 days ago
      • Reply
    • 学哲 田

      To solve, thank you,My English is very bad。

      • 3 weeks, 1 day ago
      • Reply
  • akram khan

    Hey why ended questions payouts are still in pending status since many months

    • 1 month, 3 weeks ago
    • Reply
    • Helene Meier

      Hi Akram, I just checked and you are right. It appears that several more questions in your main survey topic might have results. We will check back with the client for the data and revert by the next business day.

      PS: It's best to post settlement reminders to the message section of the actual question or topic.

      • 1 month, 3 weeks ago
      • Reply
    • akram khan

      Hey no satisfactory reply till yet

      • 1 month, 2 weeks ago
      • Reply
    • Helene Meier

      Our contact at the client is travelling until next Monday. Please bear with us, we are at it.

      • 1 month, 2 weeks ago
      • Reply
    • Helene Meier

      Hi Akram, all ripe questions in your main competition are now closed. (As an aside, I saw that you are amongst the winners, just above the hurdle. Congratulations!)

      • 3 weeks, 3 days ago
      • Reply
  • Juliette Anderton

    Hi there, just wondering when results for questions 4-9 for "Online Shopping for Groceries (*confidential*, June 2016)" are going to be finalised?

    • 2 months, 1 week ago
    • Reply
    • Helene Meier

      Hi Juliette, thanks for the reminder. Please let me check back with our client for actuals. I will revert within 24 hours.

      • 2 months, 1 week ago
      • Reply
    • Helene Meier

      Four more results have been posted. The remaining two questions need actuals which are not yet available. I will provide more information on the Topic page of the survey.

      • 2 months, 1 week ago
      • Reply
  • Phillip Hargreaves

    Please delete my question as I can't find a way to do it myself?

    • 4 months, 3 weeks ago
    • Reply
    • Helene Meier

      Hi Philip, draft questions become obsolete automatically after 3 days.

      • 4 months, 1 week ago
      • Reply
  • Player Conceded

    Can you please cancel my account asap, thank you very much.

  • Player Gave Up

    我按照Cancelling your Prediki account的提示,一步步做后,依然无法取消账户。不知该怎么做

    • 7 months, 3 weeks ago
    • Reply
    • Helene Meier

      请不用担心,我会帮您处理。

      • 7 months, 3 weeks ago
      • Reply
  • Player Gave Up

    我去年曾参加过一个有关高端牛奶的调查,此后未再登录贵网站,且我自己相关的邮件地址也已经很长时间没用。我彻底忘了贵网站。今天我登录了相关邮箱,发现有好几封邮件是跟我索取现金的。我当时因为忘了贵网站,不知道是怎么回事,就回复从未注册贵网站,可能我的邮件地址被盗。过后我想起曾参加过牛奶调查。我现在不知道怎么处理此事。我可否退出?

    • 7 months, 3 weeks ago
    • Reply
    • Helene Meier

      我留意到您的个人账户仍有15美金奖金,请使用paypal账户进行提现。如果您操作有困难,我可以代为处理,谢谢。

      • 7 months, 3 weeks ago
      • Reply
  • Player conceded

    When is the incentive money I have coming to me going to be released to me so that I can cash out???I am still waiting for an answer. Anyone else having this problem???

    • 8 months, 2 weeks ago
    • Reply
    • Helene Meier

      Laurie, you can see the remaining time until settlement as follows:
      1. Click your portfolio tab (4th on your user page)
      2. Click the question which is settling (e.g. "Donald Trump")
      3. Click the Rule "§" button and then "Final Result" to the left
      4. There is the result as entered by Dominique 2 days and 19 hours ago: Donald Trump got 69% of votes

      The count-down to settlement currently shows 5 hours 18 minutes remaining till this result firms up. Here is a direct link to the Trump result page:
      https://www.prediki.com/questions/Trump:-What-p...

      However, I also looked at your logbook. It shows that you predicted Trump's vote share with only "30-40%". Here is to your trade:
      https://www.prediki.com/questions/Trump:-What-p...

      On Prediki the incentive money goes exclusively to those traders who made a profit by predicting correctly. In 5 hours, you will see the winners in "Donald Trump" here:
      https://www.prediki.com/questions/Trump:-What-p...

      • 8 months, 2 weeks ago
      • Reply
  • Player conceded

    When will the incentive money be distributed. This seems to be taking forever.THank you for looking into this .

    • 8 months, 2 weeks ago
    • Reply
    • Helene Meier

      Hi Laurie, I looked at your batteries and you are right, there should be (actually public) results available. BTW: With Prediki you have the power to trigger any settlement and money distribution yourself, the § button has a link to the right where you can enter the final result. I will also alert the project manager here, during European office hours..

      • 8 months, 2 weeks ago
      • Reply
  • Juliette Anderton

    Hi there, I applied for my winnings to be sent to my paypal account on 10 July, how long does it normally take for the funds to come through? Thanks.

    • 9 months, 2 weeks ago
    • Reply
    • Helene Meier

      Hi Juliette, congrats for winning. Please allow for 5 days for the funds to get through.

      • 9 months, 2 weeks ago
      • Reply
  • Mark Boyd

    Hi. I cashed out my winnings about a month ago onto Paypal but so far nothing has come through. Can you advise what is happening?

    • 9 months, 3 weeks ago
    • Reply
    • Helene Meier

      Hi Mark, Apologies for your inconvenience. I can see your Paypal payout from 29th June on the system. Please let me check what went wrong, I will revert within 24 hours.

      • 9 months, 3 weeks ago
      • Reply
    • Helene Meier

      Mark, we found what's wrong and your Paypal payment should be with you now. Congratulations again for winning, and thanks for contributing your predictions.

      • 9 months, 3 weeks ago
      • Reply
    • Mark Boyd

      Thanks Helene. All sorted now.

      • 9 months, 2 weeks ago
      • Reply
  • Ashok Bhatia

    i am using prediki from many months . but i did not get how much points i credit . what i win or earned.

    • Helene Meier

      Hi Askok, when logged in you can always see your credit balance on the top to the right (marked "Cr") and your winnings besides it (marked "US$). By clicking US$ you will see precisely for all settled questions, how everybody performed including your performance and winnings, and for all still ongoing questions you will see when settlement is due and what everybody's mark-to-market valuation is, at current prices.

  • Hui Tian Tan

    Hi Helene, I cashed out via PayPal on 18th April, but have yet to receive the payment in my PayPal account. Anything went wrong.

    • Helene Meier

      Hi Hui, congratulations to winning. Please allow for a few days for our internal processes. If it's not with you by Friday please let me know.

    • Hui Tian Tan

      Thank you.

    • Hui Tian Tan

      Hi Helene, I still haven't receive the payment in my Paypal account, could you help to check ? Thanks.

    • Helene Meier

      Sorry - please let me check this and revert on Monday.

    • Helene Meier

      Hi Hui, Prediki's backoffice checks have been completed as of this morning, so you should be able to see the payout on your Paypal account now?

  • Abdul Hanif

    how to get the survey/topic? can we find it on the dashboard or we are waiting your invitation by mail?

    • Helene Meier

      Hi Hanif - did you check your watchlist? Top right under your photo?

    • Abdul Hanif

      ok, i have found it, thank you Helene

  • Faizal Dahan

    Hi Helene,
    A farming claim for adult milk powder (Malaysia, 2016 - Closed) yesterday, i was ranked first at amount winning US 78.98. Did i win the money or not? when will the money go to my Money account? thanks..

    • Helene Meier

      Hi Faizal, it takes 72 hours until a proposed result becomes final. You may notice that there is a countdown below the result proposal.

    • Ismail Abd Samad

      Tahniah Faizal!

    • Helene Meier

      Hi Faizal, a user (Harmizan Ibrahim) prevented the settlement by voting against it without giving a proper reason, as you can see on the proposal page. The user has been disqualified in accordance with § 10 of the Terms for disturbing the orderly market. We re-entered the settlement proposal.

    • Faizal Dahan

      Terima kasih Ismail...

    • Faizal Dahan

      Hi Helene, Thanks for the reason. May i know the link of proposal page?

    • Helene Meier

      Hi Faizal,

      Here is the link:
      https://www.prediki.com/questions/Confidential-...

      The link under "3.38% Participation" shows the violator (now disqualified). Not sure what he hoped to achieve by disturbing everybody.

    • Faizal Dahan

      Thanks for the link..so what should i do now?

    • Helene Meier

      Nothing needed Faizal, just 39 hours wait till the result firms up.

    • Faizal Dahan

      thanks Helene :)

    • Faizal Dahan

      Hi Helene, Why suddenly my incentive dropped to $12.15 as well as my rank dropped to 6? thanks

    • Helene Meier

      Hi Faizal, final settlement compares predictions to what really happened. Some traders get more, some less than the estimate before knowledge of the result. You can click into each incentive to see who got what and why.

    • Faizal Dahan

      when will my $12.15 will credited to my money account? it is still pending. thanks

    • Helene Meier

      Hi Faizal, thanks for the reminder. I checked and saw that the result proposal for Q12 did not go through, so I entered it again.

  • njb njb

    Hello Helene,
    I cashed out for $14.00 yesterday. I asked for it to go to my paypal. How long until I see it go in there..thanks

    • Helene Meier

      Hi njb, congrats for winning. The next payment cycle is tomorrow Wednesday.

    • njb njb

      Thanks Helene (happy)

  • Ida Huang

    Hello Helene,
    I have been collected US$30.02 in my account. When I check my account in March 16, 2016, my money still available in my account. But today, I missing all of them & my money amount is US$0 now. Can you help me with this case? Thank you for your help.

    • 1 year, 1 month ago
    • Reply
    • Helene Meier

      Hello Ida, I just checked for you, this is what I found:
      You participated in one question (Q3b) where you invested 100 credits. After settlement with the final result your trade was loss making with -31.33 credits. So you rank #42 in this prediction question, and #107 overall in your competition.
      Here is the link for you to verify: https://www.prediki.com/questions/Confidential-...
      This is what happened, as a consequence:
      As you had a trading loss in credits, final real-money settlement changed the 30.02 potential real-money winning for question Q3b (if you had predicted right) into US$0 of actual winnings (as the prediction was actually wrong).

      • 1 year, 1 month ago
      • Reply
  • Nancy Tefertiller

    Hello Helene,
    I have a question for you. So, if you have reached your trading limit on all questions, you will not be able to change your prediction, from one person to another? I would like to update some of my choices, but I am assuming that I am unable to do that now. Thanks for answering my question.

    Nancy Tefertiller

    • 1 year, 2 months ago
    • Reply
    • Helene Meier

      That's right Nancy. You need to have free credits, so the first step is to sell out some positions which you don't like anymore. In the second step you can invest those free credits according to your current prediction.

      • 1 year, 2 months ago
      • Reply
    • Nancy Tefertiller

      Thank you so much for your quick response! And thank you for answering my question, and giving me the next steps. Have a wonderful weekend!

      Nancy

      • 1 year, 2 months ago
      • Reply
  • Richard Blech

    Hi Helene,
    That was a neat experience. So what is next? I was connected in with this activity through Toluna. Was this a one-time thing or will there be other surveys/predictions? Was there real cash involved with this or was it just a paper (electronic!) exercise.
    Thanks,
    Rich Blech

    • 1 year, 2 months ago
    • Reply
    • Helene Meier

      Sure there is real cash in the U.S. election competition. Every question states the prize money (incentive) on top right, and everybody's traded predictions versus the real-world outcome decides who gets what.

      We are starting the second level tomorrow, which will be split by political party.

      You will get an invite code by email for each of the two submarkets where you had a positive profit balance in round 1 (which indicates that you may be a good forecaster). I just checked and you did well on both democratic and republican caucus (congrats!), so you will get two invites.

      • 1 year, 2 months ago
      • Reply
  • ruksana begum

    what is potential incentives? is this pending inccetives

    • 1 year, 3 months ago
    • Reply
    • Helene Meier

      Hi Ruksana, do you mean "potential winnings"? It is the sum of all incentives where you participate with your trades.

      • 1 year, 3 months ago
      • Reply
    • ruksana begum

      When it will become real money?

      • 1 year, 3 months ago
      • Reply
    • Helene Meier

      When the real world event happens, the system can settle the real money. You can find the expected occurrance of the real event for each question in the first column of the winnings page, "Due Date".

      • 1 year, 3 months ago
      • Reply
  • Account cancelled

    Delete my account

    • 1 year, 4 months ago
    • Reply
  • Amit Bilve

    I cannot trade credits in certain questions even when i have credits in my trading account. Please help.

    • 1 year, 4 months ago
    • Reply
    • Helene Meier

      Did you check whether you have reached the trading limit in those certain questions?

      • 1 year, 4 months ago
      • Reply
  • Geetha Geetha

    How can i trade and `i am unable to understand the process of winning the points and real money

    • 1 year, 4 months ago
    • Reply
    • Helene Meier

      Hi Geetha, I can see on your User Page that you have meanwhile started trading already, so I suppose you found the trading tutorial all by yourself.

      Winning points: Once you have traded using your points (meaning credits), you earn more credits when prices move your way or if your prediction turns out correct, when the real result comes in.

      Real money: Whenever a question is judged with a final result, the system checks who made how much in trading profits and distributes the prize money. More credits in trading profits proportionatly wins more of the prize money.

      • 1 year, 4 months ago
      • Reply
    • Dipika Mehta

      please make tutorial in video also.It would be more helpful

      • 1 year, 4 months ago
      • Reply
  • Jared Bagley

    Why are all of the new questions listed as 'Confidential'? I haven't seen a non-confidential question posted since early 2014.

    • 1 year, 5 months ago
    • Reply
    • Jared, thanks for asking. Currently we are really busy with paid projects where no public question is required. There is just not enough time for our own public "fun" questions. Good news though: We are now developing a project variation for competitive intelligence where public questions will be part of the question pattern. So bear with us, please.

      PS: You are entirely free to start your own prediction questions, anytime. As you know, public questions are free, but you will need to organise you own trader group to get it going.

      • 1 year, 5 months ago
      • Reply
    • Jared Bagley

      Thank you for the information, Hubertus. In that case, is there a way to elect to participate in the confidential questions?

      • 1 year, 5 months ago
      • Reply
    • Absolutely Jared, that's precisely the bit we are developing! Keep tuned.

      • 1 year, 5 months ago
      • Reply
  • User deleted

    I want to delete my account, not just cancle it as described. How can I do this?
    Thx

    • 2 years, 6 months ago
    • Reply
    • Hi - from your message we are not sure what the difference is which you want. We will get in touch with you directly via email from support@prediki.com to clarify.

      • 2 years, 6 months ago
      • Reply
    • User deleted

      You are welcome to get in touch directly. But "cancelling a Prediki account" is described above as ""Disable all e-mail notifications.". Delete means delete my account incl. my personal data. I guess it is more clear now.

      • 2 years, 6 months ago
      • Reply
    • Thanks for clarifying. This was very helpful to improve the instructions.

      • 2 years, 6 months ago
      • Reply
  • Lisa Weeks

    Hi, I requested a payout and was wondering how long it should take - Thanks

    • 2 years, 9 months ago
    • Reply
    • @ Lisa, bank transfers are initiated by the system on the next working after a participant requested payout of his or her winnings. The international transfer itself can then take up to five bank days. In the unlikely case that the payment has not arrived by then, please contact support@prediki.com directly by e-mail.

      • 2 years, 9 months ago
      • Reply
  • Claire Breeds

    What if the proposal for settlement is for a choice of the product that I did not trade on and the one I did trade on actually won the overall prediction by quite a percentage. Would I vote NO for this proposal as I picked one of the other 3 choices. If so would I still receive my winnings? Or should I vote yes so that the question is settled, will I still get paid out even though I chose one of the others? Sorry but I am really confused by this.

    • 2 years, 10 months ago
    • Reply
    • Hi Claire, the voting part should always be truthful. Please vote YES, if the evidence or source shows that a real outcome has happened as proposed so the question can be closed.

      Prediki's Terms of Use ensure correctness because if users report another user's abusive voting against evidence of the truth this would result in the disqualification of the abusive user and forfeiting of his unfair winnings.

      • 2 years, 10 months ago
      • Reply
  • Marie Machell

    how do i vote and support the settlement

    • 2 years, 10 months ago
    • Reply
    • When somebody proposes a settlement, the top right of the question page will show a red circle near the link saying "Final settlement". Please click this link and check if the seettlement proposal is good (i.e. a reputable sources) and if so, then vote "YES".

      Example: For a GMI question, GMI itself is a good source when they announce the actual outcome, a respondent most likely is not (unless he can provide proof).

      • 2 years, 10 months ago
      • Reply
    • Claire Breeds

      I have selected YES to vote for the proposed settlement and it is asking if i want to change the other votes to 'NO'. Why is it asking this?

      • 2 years, 10 months ago
      • Reply
    • The reason for the "One YES, all others NO" rule is: A question can only be settled once.So logically, only one settlement proposal can be right and all others MUST have something wrong with them.

      How to check a proposal:
      1. The source should be credible.
      2. The cut-off time should be set correctly. (It should be so early that no trader can game the system with trades AFTER the final outcome has been announced by the credible source.)

      • 2 years, 10 months ago
      • Reply
  • Julie Short

    Please cancel my account

    • 2 years, 11 months ago
    • Reply
  • Jonathon Cross

    No idea what we are supposed to be doing. What an earth happened to surveys that I actually got paid to complete? Waste of time. Please cancel my account.

    • 3 years, 2 months ago
    • Reply
    • @Jonathon - sorry for any confusion. you should have received an email telling you to vote. and that's the only thing left to do. because GMI already announced their results. those respondents who predicted the results correctly will win their share of the prize money and get paid. yes this is different to surveys were you get paid no matter what, but on Prediki if you predict correctly, you get paid more. if you still wish to cancel the account, you can always do this in the profile settings, as described below.

      • 3 years, 2 months ago
      • Reply
  • Annette S.

    Please cancel my account. Thank you

    • 3 years, 2 months ago
    • Reply
    • To cancel your account yourself, please go to your "Notifications Page" (click your picture at the top right) and select "Disable all e-mail notifications." Thank you.

      • 3 years, 2 months ago
      • Reply
  • Account deleted

    please cancel my account

    • 3 years, 2 months ago
    • Reply
  • Amanda Hall

    how do i change my details? need to change ba phone number?

    • 3 years, 2 months ago
    • Reply
  • Carina Weeks

    when setting up payment, it says my bic/swift is invalid though this is the code that is stated on my banks website

    • 3 years, 3 months ago
    • Reply
    • @ Carina - Please contact us via email (see "Feedback" in the Footer), stating the BIC code, so we can check if there is a fault. Just in case, please note that your "Settled Winnings" account currently shows a zero balance. "Pending Winnings" are for information only (mark-to-market calculation with the current consensus prediction) and not eligible for payout. Judgement and Settlement occurs once an objective "Final Result" becomes known.

      • 3 years, 3 months ago
      • Reply
    • Carina Weeks

      ah right ok thanks

      • 3 years, 3 months ago
      • Reply
  • Jamila Chunara

    Plz Cancel my account with you. ASAP thank you

    • 3 years, 4 months ago
    • Reply
  • Michael Boyle

    I have just set up 2 Prediki questions with a binary (yes/no) answer. Unfortunately, in both the questions, the choice is not given. Please advise

    • 3 years, 4 months ago
    • Reply
    • @ Michael - We can see that you started two Confidential Questions. Being confidential, only people whom you invite can see the questions. Please use the "Invite" function to bring your chosen user group in. Did this answer your question regarding "choice"?

      • 3 years, 4 months ago
      • Reply
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