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Will New Demarchy produce better policy impact forecasts than professional politicians already in 2016?

Transaction logbook for Sarah List

Timestamp Answer option Long (for) Short (against) Shares Price % Action IP (masked)
2020/01/11 03:23:52 S Slightly better (PI +5 to +10 %) -10.26 - -25.22 40.69 Final settlement
2016/05/15 08:57:29 T Slightly better (PI +5 to +10 %) 3.00 - 25.22 11.90 Bought nsnA0fCN
O=Opening valuation, M=Market valuation, C=Closing valuation, T=Trade, R=Reversal, S=Settlement