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Will New Demarchy produce better policy impact forecasts than professional politicians already in 2016?

Transaction logbook for Stuart Mercer

Timestamp Answer option Long (for) Short (against) Shares Price % Action IP (masked)
2020/01/11 03:23:52 S Slightly better (PI +5 to +10 %) -20,668.45 - -62,212.86 33.22 Final settlement
2018/04/24 04:41:03 T Slightly better (PI +5 to +10 %) 10,000.00 - 62,212.86 16.07 Bought bda7ac10
O=Opening valuation, M=Market valuation, C=Closing valuation, T=Trade, R=Reversal, S=Settlement