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Pollsters Cheap Excuse for Bad Science

… . Today I say that enough is enough, something has to be said for better science. So what did the gentleman, obviously a representative of the old school of market research, tell to the esteemed Research …

Last: April 30, 2018, 12:12:48

The Dangerous Path from Fake News

… . This technology is not science fiction, it already exists and is available for free right at our fingertips. In 2015, scientists from Harvard University embarked on a project of fact-checking journals of psychology …

Last: March 8, 2017, 08:51:09

What Percentage of Predictions Fail?

… crystal balls, Gandalf, and Harry Potter for a moment. Let’s use Prediction Science. There are three hidden levels to this question. Level 1 - Simple Prediction 1. A forecast impacted by human action can …

Last: May 12, 2017, 11:17:28

Prediction Markets: A Better Alternative

… science has established, that paradoxically, people are much better in assessing the behaviour of others with less bias than their own behaviour. Political stock markets therefore do not ask: “How would you …

Last: March 14, 2017, 11:51:02

The Shrinkflation Fallacy: How Mondelez could have avoided wasted effort

… . It is a well known fact that surprising science results increase the chances of publication in a scientific journal, and that experimental replications fail to reproduce the original “surprises” quite often …

Last: March 6, 2020, 10:21:27

Управление путем прогнозов

… Pollsters' Cheap Excuse for Bad Science lable Vienna, 22 February 2018 In a recent Research World article ("Giving society a voice", December 2017), a "traditional" …

Last: April 20, 2018, 06:52:05

Management by Predictions (Prediki Blog in English)

… the future for strategy, policy and program development. One such tool is the Delphi method which originated in the 1950’s at the Rand Corporation. Read more... Pollsters' Cheap Excuse for Bad Science …

Last: Nov. 11, 2022, 11:27:48

Prognosemärkte für Demokratie

… . Research World, ESOMAR. April 2016. Puleston, J., Wheatley, A., Hofkirchner, H.: Predicting the Future. Primary Research Exploring the Science of Predictions. Esomar Congress Paper, Nice 2014. Steidl, P …

Last: Aug. 31, 2018, 02:34:22