Search results - Prediki Prediction Markets GmbH

… Science describes the gathering of information through research, the teaching of that data and the recording of the gathered information. Initial version …

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USD 1,816.67

Industry health: Will the market research industry grow or shrink from 2016 to 2020, and why?

… include Data Science within Consumer Research - so qual + quant + DS - then there will be substantial growth because big companies are realizing they are sitting on loads of unstructured and apparently …

Last: March 11, 2022, 01:55:02
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USD 40.00

Pollsters Cheap Excuse for Bad Science

… . Today I say that enough is enough, something has to be said for better science. So what did the gentleman, obviously a representative of the old school of market research, tell to the esteemed Research …

Last: April 30, 2018, 11:12:48

Experimentation

… This is a series of experiments in the science of predictions. Initial description. …

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USD 535.80

Which analytics software will dominate the market in the next 2 years?

… BACKGROUND Data science is becoming an increasingly lucrative field to be in. The popularity of specializations in statistics and machine learning took a big leap, especially after the Harvard …

Last: Jan. 24, 2021, 10:19:15
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What year will extraterrestrial life be confirmed?

… As confirmed by a press conference by NASA or a comparable national space agency or an article in a major science journal Before or during 2016 2017 to 2020 2021 to 2025 2026 to 2030 2031-2040 After …

Last: Jan. 20, 2017, 02:30:07
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Will the new universal influenza vaccine BPL-1357 test successfully on humans?

… . Science, 13 July 2022 Trial of potential universal flu vaccine opens. NIH, 28 June 2022 Safety and Immunogenicity of BPL-1357. ClinicalTrials.gov, 7 July 2022 …

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Which of these countries will improve their average PISA score the most in 2022?

… educational systems by measuring 15-year-old school pupils' scholastic performance on mathematics, reading, and science. Closing the gap The average score of Germany, Sweden, and the United Kingdom have …

Last: Nov. 26, 2022, 22:39:48
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What will be the US life expectancy in 2047?

… : https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/life-expectancy.htm > 150 120-150 100-120 90-100 80-90 < 80 Inconclusive I think that medical science will be able to lift the average age to this mark. I feel …

Last: March 18, 2025, 12:01:10
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Brexit

… MPS note) have all been thinking about the post-Westminster opportunities offered in Europe -nice little earners in the words of Arthur Daley. Hmmm the country with the most Nobel Prizes for science …

Last: April 16, 2019, 15:37:37

USD 45.00

The Dangerous Path from Fake News

… . This technology is not science fiction, it already exists and is available for free right at our fingertips. In 2015, scientists from Harvard University embarked on a project of fact-checking journals of psychology …

Last: March 8, 2017, 07:51:09

How effective will be the vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 Coronavirus?

… candidates. Science has gotten better at making vaccines over time, so the historical number of 65% is probably pessimistic to begin with. Also, the covid vaccines work in animals, and cause an immune response …

Last: Dec. 23, 2021, 04:58:16
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What Percentage of Predictions Fail?

… crystal balls, Gandalf, and Harry Potter for a moment. Let’s use Prediction Science. There are three hidden levels to this question. Level 1 - Simple Prediction 1. A forecast impacted by human action can …

Last: May 12, 2017, 10:17:28

Which democratic candidate will Americans regard as the best leader?

… disagreed with Sandy without giving a reason. In general, it seems a valid argument as described in "The Power of Incumbency": https://www.boundless.com/political-science/textbooks/boundless …

Last: March 8, 2016, 12:25:40
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USD 20.11

Prediction Markets: A Better Alternative

… science has established, that paradoxically, people are much better in assessing the behaviour of others with less bias than their own behaviour. Political stock markets therefore do not ask: “How would you …

Last: March 14, 2017, 10:51:02

The Shrinkflation Fallacy: How Mondelez could have avoided wasted effort

… . It is a well known fact that surprising science results increase the chances of publication in a scientific journal, and that experimental replications fail to reproduce the original “surprises” quite often …

Last: March 6, 2020, 09:21:27

Is there a cryptocurrency bubble building in 2017 and by when will it burst?

… . But of course this needs knowledgeable participants, or it's garbage in, garbage out. (See Puleston, Hofkirchner, Wheatley. The Science of Predictions. ESOMAR Congress Paper 2014.) Therefore, a serious …

Last: May 30, 2017, 04:28:43
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USD 100.00

Управление путем прогнозов

… Pollsters' Cheap Excuse for Bad Science lable Vienna, 22 February 2018 In a recent Research World article ("Giving society a voice", December 2017), a "traditional" …

Last: April 20, 2018, 05:52:05

Management by Predictions (Prediki Blog in English)

… the future for strategy, policy and program development. One such tool is the Delphi method which originated in the 1950’s at the Rand Corporation. Read more... Pollsters' Cheap Excuse for Bad Science …

Last: Nov. 11, 2022, 10:27:48

Will Joe Biden be a good President, and why?

… will be considered 'good' - he has experience, will build a strong cabinet and use common sense, science and compassion to govern. He's not my prefered leader, and he's got a lot of work to do …

Last: March 11, 2026, 04:15:16
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