• No questions for this search term

Will Ethereum 2.0 go live during 2020 and if yes, when?

  • The question will be judged by the time stamp of the first Ethereum block mined by Proof-of-Stake instead of Proof-of-Work.
  • USD 20.00

    What will be the lowest price of bitcoin in 2020?

  • The question will be judged by the lowest weighted average price of bitcoin in USD in 2020, as published by BitcoinAverage.com. If the service folds or ceases to be resonably reliable, the leading comparable service's price data shall be used instead.
  • USD 20.00

    Will a DAX company tokenise its shares in 2020?

  • The question shall be judged "Yes", if a component company of the DAX-30 issues shares as an ERC token during calendar 2020, else "No"
  • USD 20.00

    Will Ethereum overtake Bitcoin in 2020 at least on one day, and by how much?

  • Criteria: Ether marketcap divided by Bitcoin marketcap on a given day (24h) gives the answer percentage. Source of judgement data: https://coinmarketcap.com/#USD. If this site ceases operation or becomes unreliable, judgement data shall be taken from the top ranked site listed on Google with the search term "crypto market capitalisation".
  • USD 20.00

    What will be the highest price of bitcoin in 2020?

  • The question will be judged by the highest weighted average price of bitcoin in USD in 2020, as published by BitcoinAverage.com. If the service folds or ceases to be reasonably reliable, the leading comparable service's price data shall be used instead.
  • USD 20.00

    What relationship will the UK and the EU agree after the Brexit?

  • If the UK notifies the EU of its intent to withdraw from the EU, the following subsequent outcomes are possible in accordance to the EU Treaties: 1. “European Economic Area” (EEA) means that the UK joins as a party to the Agreement on a European Economic Area (Norway model). 2. “Bilateral Agreements” means a set of bilateral agreements between UK and the EU (Switzerland model). 3. Withdraws means the UK withdraws its notification to withdraw from the EU within 2 years. 4. The EU may extend the withdrawal agreement negotiation period beyond 2 years. 5. The withdrawal may become effective 2 years after the Brexit notification without the UK and the EU reaching an agreement about a special relationship. If the UK does not notify the EU of its intent to withdraw within a reasonable period, the question shall be settled prematurely at the market prices prevalent before such notification becomes unrealistic.
  • USD 50.00

    Will New Demarchy produce better policy impact forecasts than professional politicians already in 2...

  • According to the manifesto, New Demarchy will capture policy impact predictions by politicians and run them as prediction questions on the prediction market. For some of these, final results will become available during 2016. We will divide the mean absolute errors (MAE) of the collective forecast of members on the prediction market by the MAE's of the responsible politicians. A constant of 100 % minus this ratio gives the performance indicator (PI). Hence a PI above 0 % will indicate an improvement, below 0 % a worse performance than politicians.
  • USD 10.01

    When will U.S. house prices peak before the next crisis?

  • This question shall be judged by the time when the maximum level is reached by the S&P Case Shiller 10-Cities Composite House price index before a cumulative correction by 50 index points or more. As of 17 July 2018 the index was 223 points.
  • USD 60.00

    When will New Demarchy complete its first successful pilot project?

  • A pilot project of New Demarchy is defined as a political issue subject to a decision by a local, regional, or national political body, taken up by ND and dealt with by following a process according to the principles set out in the manifesto and resulting in a recommended decision. A successful pilot will have occurred if the responsible political body adopts ND's recommendation as its decision and it can be shown beyond reasonable doubt that ND's recommendation was a key factor influencing the political body's decision.
  • USD 10.02

    2019년 코스피 지수를 예측해 보세요 (19.6月末)?

  • 한국증권거래소
  • USD 200.00
    Confidential results hidden from view