Search results - Prediki Prediction Markets GmbH

A New Perspective on Survey Distortions

… . How realistic is it that our political leaders will look into the details of survey language to assess bias before taking decisions? Even if they did and found a bias from their subjective point of view …

Last: April 19, 2018, 08:45:23

The Dangerous Path from Fake News

… . Tellingly, Millennials prefers their political news served as comedy formats like the Colbert Report and the Daily Show. The Road to Oppression The Chinese and North Korean governments, amongst others, have …

Last: March 8, 2017, 08:51:09

John Tack

… John Tack Ping Jeered I cant edit it I’ve a question to submit Politics New Zealand Wanted to invite you to support, anyone actually, don’t know how Still trying to figure the short option tho …

Registration: Sept. 23, 2019, 12:57:39

0.00 Expertise

Prediki New Zealand

Prediction Markets 2.0

… Prediki New Zealand Prediction Markets 2.0 …

Registration: March 22, 2016, 11:51:36

0.00 Expertise

Will Ohio Issue 1 pass on 7 November 2023?

… Background: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/November_2023_Ohio_Issue_1 https://www.dispatch.com/story/news/politics/2023/11/02/election-2023-what-you-need-to-know-about-ohio-issues-1-and-2/71381966007/ …

Last: Nov. 7, 2023, 20:04:33
Settled

USD 0.00

Will Tesla be overtaken by the Germans? Which rank will it have in 2021?

… The expectation was that a new battery tech would have emerged by now to far surpass lithium based battery systems in terms of density, safety, and cost. Cheaper batteries would have pushed electric vehicles more …

Last: Jan. 7, 2022, 10:17:28
Settled

USD 0.00

How many OECD countries will have drone delivery services by 2020?

… here in New Zealand with Drones. i think it takes time 11-17 countries sound like a good amount also considering these countries have the economic capability to invest in technology like this. In May …

Last: Jan. 27, 2021, 17:11:49
Settled

USD 100.00

What will the court rule in the case of Oscar Pistorius, the Blade Runner, who shot and killed his ...

… for him, and everyone else. Dear Australian person:-), Please don't ever become a judge, you may miss the gazillions of clues, love your friendly neighbour..from New Zealand:-) Christine. I haven …

Last: Oct. 23, 2014, 06:10:56
Settled

USD 100.00

Cruz: What percentage of delegates will nominate Ted Cruz at the 2016 Republican National Conventio...

… by way of action or past scandal, Republican delegates will come to their senses and back Cruz as their strongest POLITICAL candidate not their most popular mouthpiece. (Trump) 40-50% it's moderate …

Last: May 6, 2016, 09:36:48
Settled

USD 20.08

Prediction Markets: A Better Alternative

… not able to predict these results. Hubertus Hofkirchner, Chief Futurist and CEO of Prediki, which operates the global prediction platform prediki.com, talks about the advantages of modern political stock …

Last: March 14, 2017, 11:51:02

Will Ethereum overtake Bitcoin in 2017 at least on one day, and by how much?

… better predictions than me: https://cointelegraph.com/news/vitalik-buterin-bitcoin-more-likely-than-ethereum-to-split-in-2017 Great lessons: I learned how Prediction Markets hold a lot of noise and lag …

Last: Dec. 31, 2017, 03:31:22
Settled

USD 50.00

Messages

… Messages -- Through messages you can contribute new information, your opinion or considerations. Good messages will influence the market prices. Therefore you should do your trades before …

Last: May 15, 2016, 06:32:33

"The Bout" - Dan O'Dowd against Elon Musk: Will a self-driving Tesla run down a child?

… did not take it serious, he just tweeted a "bat shit crazy": https://www.cbsnews.com/news/super-bowl-ad-2023-the-dawn-project-tesla-dan-odowd/ So, it seems "The Bout" won't …

Last: Oct. 29, 2022, 00:29:20
Active

USD 0.00

Predicting the Global Market Research Report of 2020

… by Hubertus Hofkirchner -- Vienna, 19 Aug 2016 When studying the call for the ESOMAR Congress 2016 in New Orleans, we noticed excitedly that they were particularly interested in alternative …

Last: Aug. 24, 2016, 05:16:02

What Percentage of Predictions Fail?

… is of course exactly valid for economic and political decisions. So the answer is: 50% of forecasts fail. Back to the Management by Predictions Blog Follow this blog for more stories, new case studies and how …

Last: May 12, 2017, 11:17:28

2016 Elections in Russia: Boring? Or Unfair?

… to the article, the election is a decided matter. Really just boring? However, Bloomberg failed to recognise or mention the most obvious weakness of the big event, the new electoral process which puts …

Last: Aug. 29, 2016, 17:09:03

Will current inflation be only transitory? What will US CPI be for 2022?

… , this data is conservative Gut instinct and based on New Zealand's inflation rate While I don't doubt that inflation will be tamed, I doubt that this is merely transitory. Some effects of inflation …

Last: Jan. 17, 2023, 04:16:39
Settled

USD 20.00

Swiss Democracy Needs to Catch Up to Internet Age

… , almost 40 years ago. On August 17, the new plan was published: in future they will do their polling ... by telephone? Telephone vs. Internet While Bell's 1876 invention still has its place …

Last: April 19, 2018, 08:40:00

Il 4 dicembre 2016 ci sarà il Referendum Costituzionale. Quale percentuale di elettori voterà “Sì”?

… % Più di 65% Sicuramente avrete già dato un'occhiata: http://www.ilsussidiario.net/News/Politica/2016/11/6/Sondaggi-Referendum-2016-Elettorali-e-Politici-intenzioni-di-voto-ballottaggi-M5s-riduce …

Last: Jan. 20, 2017, 18:06:02
Settled

USD 38.00

Renewed Controversy About Election Polls

… . The pollsters’ mean absolute error (MAE) averaged an embarrassing 2.3 percentage points. “Some polls were methodical garbage”, explained Austrian media darling and political pundit Peter Filzmaier on the ZiB 2 …

Last: Nov. 11, 2022, 12:11:08