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Will current inflation be only transitory? What will US CPI be for 2022?

  • This question will settle with the precent change of the Consumer Price Index of the U.S. Bureau of Labour Statistics between end of 2021 and 2022.
    • Created: Nov. 18, 2021, 09:11:38
    • Settled
    USD 20.00

    What will be bitcoin's dominance at year end 2021?

  • The question will be judged by bitcoin's percentage of total crypto market capitalisation according to CoinMarketCap at year-end 2021 UTC. For reference, dominance was 70.5% at year-end 2020. https://coinmarketcap.com/charts/
    • Created: Jan. 13, 2021, 11:29:52
    • Settled
    USD 20.00

    What will be the hashrate of bitcoin at the end of 2021?

  • The question will be judged with the 30-day average mining hashrate of bitcoin in million TH/s on 31st December 2021 as shown on Blockchain.com. https://www.blockchain.com/charts/hash-rate
    • Created: Jan. 7, 2021, 03:59:15
    • Settled
    USD 20.00

    Will Ethereum 2.0 launch any shard chain functions in 2021?

  • The question will be judged depending on which feature is shipped and launched by the Ethereum 2.0 project during calendar 2021.
    • Created: Jan. 5, 2021, 11:19:31
    • Settled
    USD 20.00

    Will 2021 see a brain drain away from Ethereum?

  • This question will be judged on 31st December 2021 by the ratio of job listings for either Ethereum vs Bitcoin Developers on crypto job portal Indeed.com. On 04 Jan 2021, there were 373 job offers for ETH vs 428 for BTC, hence the ratio was 87%.
    • Created: Jan. 4, 2021, 12:25:10
    • Settled
    USD 20.00

    What will be the highest price of bitcoin in 2021?

  • The question will be judged by the highest weighted daily average USD price of bitcoin in 2021, as published by BitcoinAverage.com. If the service folds or ceases to be reasonably reliable, a leading comparable service's 24h-price data shall be used instead.
    • Created: Jan. 4, 2021, 11:36:59
    • Settled
    USD 20.00

    What will be the lowest price of bitcoin in 2021?

  • The question will be judged by the lowest weighted daily average USD price of bitcoin during calendar 2021, according to a leading cryptocurrency price database. "Day" is defined in UTC.
    • Created: Jan. 4, 2021, 11:19:09
    • Settled
    USD 20.00

    How liquid will Lightning Network be at the end of 2021?

  • The question will be judged by the total bitcoin denominated liquidity in Lightning Network as of 31 December 2021 24:00 UTC.
    • Created: Jan. 4, 2021, 07:38:00
    • Settled
    USD 20.00

    Wieviele tägliche COVID-19 Neuinfektionen wird es in Österreich Anfang September geben, wenn keine ...

  • Abgerechnet wird mit der durchschnittlichen Zahl der täglichen Neuinfektionen in den 7 Tagen von 1. bis 7. September 2020 laut offizieller Statistik des österreichischen Gesundheitsministeriums. Sollte die Regierung eine materielle Verschärfung der Maßnahmen beschließen, wird zum Zeitpunkt der Bekanntgabe mit aktuellem Prognosekurs abgerechnet.
    • Created: July 1, 2020, 12:35:53
    • Settled
    USD 20.00

    Will Bitcoin's reward halving in May 2020 impact its value?

  • This question will be settled by the price difference of the Bitcoin price on the day before the halving at block 630,000 compared to the day after halving, as recorded on https://cointelegraph.com/bitcoin-price-index. Cointelegaph' price definition shall be authoritative.
    • Created: May 6, 2020, 03:41:49
    • Settled
    USD 20.00

    Will a government or a major US corporation successfully launch an own cryptocurrency during 2020? ...

  • For purposes of this questions "Government "means the a sovereign country which is a member of the United Nations. "Major US Company" means any component company of either the Dow 30 or the NASDAQ 100 index. "Successful launch" means that at least 51% of consensus influence must rest with outside parties.
    • Created: Dec. 29, 2019, 06:30:15
    • Settled
    USD 20.00

    Will Ethereum overtake Bitcoin in 2020 at least on one day, and by how much?

  • Criteria: Ether marketcap divided by Bitcoin marketcap on a given day (24h) gives the answer percentage. Source of judgement data: https://coinmarketcap.com/#USD. If this site ceases operation or becomes unreliable, judgement data shall be taken from the top ranked site listed on Google with the search term "crypto market capitalisation".
    • Created: Dec. 29, 2019, 05:44:25
    • Settled
    USD 20.00

    Will Ethereum 2.0 go live during 2020 and if yes, when?

  • The question will be judged by the time stamp of the first Ethereum block mined by Proof-of-Stake instead of Proof-of-Work.
    • Created: Dec. 27, 2019, 10:56:37
    • Settled
    USD 20.00

    Will a DAX company tokenise its shares in 2020?

  • The question shall be judged "Yes", if a component company of the DAX-30 issues shares as an ERC token during calendar 2020, else "No"
    • Created: Dec. 27, 2019, 10:51:08
    • Settled
    USD 20.00

    Will privacy coin Monero be delisted in 2020?

  • The questions will be judged by the number of delistings of Monero from crypto exchanges. Monero was listed on 51 exchanges as of year end 2019, here in alphabetical order: Atomars, BigONE, Binance, Bisq, Bitalong, Bitci, Bitcoin.com, Bitexbook, Bitfinex, BitHash, Bithumb, Bittrex, BTCNEXT, BTCSquare, BTSE, BW.com, CHAOEX, CITEX, CoinBene, CoinEx, CREX24, DCoin, Digifinex, DragonEx, EXMO, Exrates, Finexbox, Gate.io, Graviex, HitBC, HPX, Huobi, IDCM, IncoreX, Indodax, Indoex, Kraken, KuCoin, MXC, OKEx, Poloniex, QBTC, SouthXchange, STEX, Tokenomy, Tokensnet, TradeOgre, VCCExchange, Wavesexchange, XT, ZBG. For the avoidance of doubt: General closings of an exchange or mergers shall not count as a delisting. Source: https://www.coingecko.com/de/munze/monero#markets
    • Created: Dec. 27, 2019, 10:37:10
    • Settled
    USD 20.00

    What will be the highest price of bitcoin in 2020?

  • The question will be judged by the highest weighted average price of bitcoin in USD in 2020, as published by BitcoinAverage.com. If the service folds or ceases to be reasonably reliable, the leading comparable service's price data shall be used instead.
    • Created: Dec. 27, 2019, 10:08:23
    • Settled
    USD 20.00

    What will be the lowest price of bitcoin in 2020?

  • The question will be judged by the lowest weighted average price of bitcoin in USD in 2020, as published by BitcoinAverage.com. If the service folds or ceases to be resonably reliable, the leading comparable service's price data shall be used instead.
    • Created: Dec. 27, 2019, 10:04:59
    • Settled
    USD 20.00

    How liquid will Lightning Network be at the end of 2020?

  • The question will be judged by the total bitcoin denominated liquidity in Lightning Network as of 31 December 2020 24:00 UTC.
    • Created: Dec. 27, 2019, 09:40:58
    • Settled
    USD 20.00

    Wird GILT die erforderliche Zahl an Unterstützungserklärungen für die Nationalratswahl 2019 erhalte...

  • Es gilt die von GILT bekanntgegebene Zahl rechtzeitig eingelangter Unterstützungserklärungen ("UE"). "Rechtzeitig" bedeutet so eingelangt, dass GILT die erforderlichen UE bis spätestens 2. August 2019 17:00 Uhr bei der jeweiligen Landeswahlbehörde abgeben kann. "Nein, nirgendwo" heisst dass GILT in keinem Bundesland die erforderliche Zahl an UE erhält "Nein, nicht überall" bedeutet, dass für ein oder mehr Bundesländer nicht genügend UE einlangen. "Knapp, aber doch" bedeutet, dass GILT spätestens am 2. August genügend UE melden kann. "Ja, locker" bedeutet dass GILT schon am 29. Juli überall genügend UE melden kann.
    • Created: June 22, 2019, 05:13:47
    • Settled
    Invaluable

    Wird das EU-Parlament das neue EU-Urheberrecht mit Upload-Filtern beschließen?

  • Das EU-Parlament wird am 26 März 2019 über die Reform des EU-Urheberrechts abstimmen. Die Frage wird mit dem Prozentsatz der Ja-Stimmen abgerechnet. Sollte der Paragraph 13 (bzw. jetzt 17) gestrichen werden, so . wird mit letztem Marktkurs abgerechnet.
    • Created: March 21, 2019, 05:45:12
    • Settled
    USD 20.00
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