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Wird das EU-Parlament das neue EU-Urheberrecht mit Upload-Filtern beschließen?

  • Das EU-Parlament wird am 26 März 2019 über die Reform des EU-Urheberrechts abstimmen. Die Frage wird mit dem Prozentsatz der Ja-Stimmen abgerechnet. Sollte der Paragraph 13 (bzw. jetzt 17) gestrichen werden, so . wird mit letztem Marktkurs abgerechnet.
    • Last: March 24, 2019, 16:38:31
    • Settled
    USD 20.00

    How liquid will Lightning Network be at the end of 2020?

  • The question will be judged by the total bitcoin denominated liquidity in Lightning Network as of 31 December 2020 24:00 UTC.
    • Last: Dec. 27, 2020, 11:45:57
    • Settled
    USD 20.00

    What will be the lowest price of bitcoin in 2020?

  • The question will be judged by the lowest weighted average price of bitcoin in USD in 2020, as published by BitcoinAverage.com. If the service folds or ceases to be resonably reliable, the leading comparable service's price data shall be used instead.
    • Last: Jan. 3, 2021, 16:11:46
    • Settled
    USD 20.00

    What will be the highest price of bitcoin in 2020?

  • The question will be judged by the highest weighted average price of bitcoin in USD in 2020, as published by BitcoinAverage.com. If the service folds or ceases to be reasonably reliable, the leading comparable service's price data shall be used instead.
    • Last: Dec. 18, 2020, 21:06:35
    • Settled
    USD 20.00

    Will privacy coin Monero be delisted in 2020?

  • The questions will be judged by the number of delistings of Monero from crypto exchanges. Monero was listed on 51 exchanges as of year end 2019, here in alphabetical order: Atomars, BigONE, Binance, Bisq, Bitalong, Bitci, Bitcoin.com, Bitexbook, Bitfinex, BitHash, Bithumb, Bittrex, BTCNEXT, BTCSquare, BTSE, BW.com, CHAOEX, CITEX, CoinBene, CoinEx, CREX24, DCoin, Digifinex, DragonEx, EXMO, Exrates, Finexbox, Gate.io, Graviex, HitBC, HPX, Huobi, IDCM, IncoreX, Indodax, Indoex, Kraken, KuCoin, MXC, OKEx, Poloniex, QBTC, SouthXchange, STEX, Tokenomy, Tokensnet, TradeOgre, VCCExchange, Wavesexchange, XT, ZBG. For the avoidance of doubt: General closings of an exchange or mergers shall not count as a delisting. Source: https://www.coingecko.com/de/munze/monero#markets
    • Last: Jan. 5, 2021, 21:04:39
    • Settled
    USD 20.00

    Will a DAX company tokenise its shares in 2020?

  • The question shall be judged "Yes", if a component company of the DAX-30 issues shares as an ERC token during calendar 2020, else "No"
    • Last: Jan. 6, 2021, 05:42:58
    • Settled
    USD 20.00

    Will Ethereum 2.0 go live during 2020 and if yes, when?

  • The question will be judged by the time stamp of the first Ethereum block mined by Proof-of-Stake instead of Proof-of-Work.
    • Last: Dec. 15, 2020, 20:30:54
    • Settled
    USD 20.00

    Will Ethereum overtake Bitcoin in 2020 at least on one day, and by how much?

  • Criteria: Ether marketcap divided by Bitcoin marketcap on a given day (24h) gives the answer percentage. Source of judgement data: https://coinmarketcap.com/#USD. If this site ceases operation or becomes unreliable, judgement data shall be taken from the top ranked site listed on Google with the search term "crypto market capitalisation".
    • Last: Jan. 3, 2021, 14:45:34
    • Settled
    USD 20.00

    Will a government or a major US corporation successfully launch an own cryptocurrency during 2020? ...

  • For purposes of this questions "Government "means the a sovereign country which is a member of the United Nations. "Major US Company" means any component company of either the Dow 30 or the NASDAQ 100 index. "Successful launch" means that at least 51% of consensus influence must rest with outside parties.
    • Last: Dec. 30, 2020, 21:22:49
    • Settled
    USD 20.00

    Will Bitcoin's reward halving in May 2020 impact its value?

  • This question will be settled by the price difference of the Bitcoin price on the day before the halving at block 630,000 compared to the day after halving, as recorded on https://cointelegraph.com/bitcoin-price-index. Cointelegaph' price definition shall be authoritative.
    • Last: May 13, 2020, 03:27:00
    • Settled
    USD 20.00

    Wieviele tägliche COVID-19 Neuinfektionen wird es in Österreich Anfang September geben, wenn keine ...

  • Abgerechnet wird mit der durchschnittlichen Zahl der täglichen Neuinfektionen in den 7 Tagen von 1. bis 7. September 2020 laut offizieller Statistik des österreichischen Gesundheitsministeriums. Sollte die Regierung eine materielle Verschärfung der Maßnahmen beschließen, wird zum Zeitpunkt der Bekanntgabe mit aktuellem Prognosekurs abgerechnet.
    • Last: July 23, 2020, 18:58:25
    • Settled
    USD 20.00

    Will Ethereum overtake Bitcoin in 2017 at least on one day, and by how much?

  • Criteria: Ether marketcap divided by Bitcoin marketcap on a given day (24h) gives the answer percentage. Source of judgement data: https://coinmarketcap.com/#USD. If this site ceases operation or becomes unreliable, judgement data shall be taken from the top ranked site listed on Google with the search term "crypto market capitalisation".
    • Last: Dec. 31, 2017, 03:31:22
    • Settled
    USD 50.00

    What will the exchange rate of US$ per Bitcoin be at the end of 2013?

  • The question will be judged by the weighted average of the last five ticks from active Bitcoin exchanges before the end of the year 2013 (US Pacific time).
    • Last: Jan. 8, 2014, 05:32:57
    • Settled
    USD 133.98

    Will income inequality increase in Europe in 2013?

  • Ratio between top and bottom 20% of income distribution. Judgement by data from Eurostat.
    • Last: April 20, 2016, 08:38:28
    • Settled
    USD 100.00

    When will U.S. house prices peak before the next crisis?

  • This question shall be judged by the time when the maximum level is reached by the S&P Case Shiller 10-Cities Composite House price index before a cumulative correction by 50 index points or more. As of 17 July 2018 the index was 223 points.
    • Last: April 25, 2021, 23:04:39
    • Settled
    USD 60.00

    Will automation cause rising unemployment by 2020?

  • The question will be judged by the OECD average employment rate of workers with an education level below upper secondary, as shown by the OECD Data report for 2020.
    • Last: Sept. 30, 2022, 01:45:04
    • Settled
    USD 10.00

    What price will the base model Google Glass retail for in USD?

  • At the time of the announcement of retail availability, the price (USD) of the lowest tier model available in the US will be used.
    • Last: Oct. 19, 2018, 02:52:08
    • Settled
    USD 5.00

    Will the Playstation 4 or the Xbox One sell more consoles worldwide by March 29th, 2014?

  • As determined by hardware sales numbers posted by VGChartz.com during the period starting October of 2013 through the week ending March 29th, 2014.
    • Last: March 27, 2014, 05:25:04
    • Settled
    USD 10.00

    Wird GILT die erforderliche Zahl an Unterstützungserklärungen für die Nationalratswahl 2019 erhalte...

  • Es gilt die von GILT bekanntgegebene Zahl rechtzeitig eingelangter Unterstützungserklärungen ("UE"). "Rechtzeitig" bedeutet so eingelangt, dass GILT die erforderlichen UE bis spätestens 2. August 2019 17:00 Uhr bei der jeweiligen Landeswahlbehörde abgeben kann. "Nein, nirgendwo" heisst dass GILT in keinem Bundesland die erforderliche Zahl an UE erhält "Nein, nicht überall" bedeutet, dass für ein oder mehr Bundesländer nicht genügend UE einlangen. "Knapp, aber doch" bedeutet, dass GILT spätestens am 2. August genügend UE melden kann. "Ja, locker" bedeutet dass GILT schon am 29. Juli überall genügend UE melden kann.
    • Last: Aug. 1, 2019, 06:59:39
    • Settled
    Invaluable

    Will Donald Trump be a good President, and why?

  • The question shall be judged by the final - i.e. not the average - approval rating of Donald Trump as determined by the combined approval rating of FiveThirtyEight at the end of his first presidency term, expected to finish in January 2021. If Donald Trump's presidency ends earlier, it shall be the last rating prior to this. Here is to the source: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/ If Donald Trump's final approval rating puts him among the top 3 (1-3) presidents since Harry Truman the questions shall be judged "Very Good", a lower top 5 rank (4-5) is "Good". A place among the bottom 3 (11-13) shall make him "Very bad", a better bottom 5 rank (9-10) is just "Bad". A rank from 6-8 will be judged as "Average". Note: The Gallup source originally defined for this question's judgement could be biased and will not be used: http://www.gallup.com/poll/116677/Presidential-Approval-Ratings-Gallup-Historical-Statistics-Trends.aspx
    • Last: Jan. 24, 2021, 11:15:47
    • Settled
    USD 100.00
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