How liquid will Lightning Network be at the end of 2021?

Follow |   74
Recruiting
  1. Welcome. First, let us explain the four tasks in each question. This button will later bring you to the wiki with some background information to the question. Now please click the blue arrow > to continue.
  2. This button will show you the exact judgement rule which specifies how the question will be settled and the winner determined. You must accept the rule to unlock trading.
  3. Clicking here will open the trading section where you can then buy and sell predictions using your virtual credits.
  4. The last button will bring you to the market talk section. Try to convince other traders of your predictions with a good argument.
  5. The better your predictions are compared to other traders, the higher will be your share of the incentive.
  1. Welcome! First, please click the “book” icon to jump to a question's information wiki.
  1. Great! Now please click here to check the exact judgement rule.
  1. Now, let’s do your first trade together. Please click here.
  1. Last task: Now convince other traders of your answer to push its price.
  1. When finished, click here to proceed to the next question.
  2. Click here to return to the previous question.
  3. Click here to jump to any question directly.
  4. Continue to trade, talk, or rate before proceeding to the next question.
  • No questions for this search term
  1. This is how the question will be judged in the end, when the final outcome becomes known.
  2. This is the precise date or end of the period to which the question refers.
  3. After reading the judgement rule, please click here.
Close

§ Judgement rule

How will the final result of the question be determined?

Modify Final result
The question will be judged by the total bitcoin denominated liquidity in Lightning Network as of 31 December 2021 24:00 UTC.
Reference date: Dec. 31, 2021, 24:00 UTC

Answer options

Widget Price
● 500 BTC or less
4.77 %
● 500 - 800
7.88 %
● 800 - 1,000
3.68 %
● 1,000 - 2,000
22.40 %
● 2,000 - 5,000
52.35 %
● 5,000 - 10,000
7.45 %
● More than 10,000 BTC
1.45 %

Price trend

Transactions
  1. Study the background information carefully.
  2. Read the background information carefully, before proceeding.

Wiki article

Edit

Lightning Network Logo - Copyright: Oinman via Wikimedia: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Bitcoin_lightning_logo.svgIn 2019, Christoph Bergmann predicted a capacity of 10,000 bitcoin by the end of 2020, which would have dramatically increases the transfer amounts. [1] But he was wrong, year-end Lightning Network capacity was only 1,056 bitcoin. Will Bergman be right at least by the end of 2021?

1ML shows Lightning Network statistics in real time.

Hubertus's comment:

The most fundamental news in 2020 saw the introduction of Lightning Pool [2], a marketplace where private users and businesses can lease liquidity for payment channels. The service has attracted 11 bitcoins since November. Question is: will this foster or reduce the need for liquidity in the network?

Sources:

  1. "15 Prognosen zum Kryptomarkt im Jahr 2020" - BitcoinBlog.de
  2. "Lightning Network’s New Liquidity Marketplace Attracts a Surprising Mix of Individuals" - Coindesk (19 Nov 2020).

Topics

Assign
  1. Offering the reason for your trade may convince other traders to follow your opinion.
  2. Click '+' if you agree, or '–' to disagree. You get a credit for every rating you make.
  3. For each '+' the author will get +100 credits added to his trading account .
  4. If you rate a comment with "-", please reply and state your objection.
  5. Now please rate, reply, or write your own comment. Best of luck!

Reasons and arguments Analyze

USD 20
Total prize money
Top 5 participants (Ranking) Credits
1. Keegan Fisher 53,595.14
2. H. Abc 51,631.61
3. Bernd Somitsch 49,114.24
4. Michael Wray 34,171.01
5. 2A3Q Freedtangent 28,938.67
Photo Hubertus Hofkirchner
Question owner:
Hubertus Hofkirchner
Moderator:
Helene Meier
Photo Helene Meier
  • 3,260 Views
  • 24 Messages
  • 227 Transactions
This question has 74 followers