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Prediki Prediction Services

  • … , scientific and political predictions. Prediki utilises Collective Intelligence: predictions result from a specialised trading mechanism, analysis is written co-operatively using wiki-technologies. The name …
  • Full Stack Django/Python Developer (m/f) (Full time, Vienna-based)

  • … . Remote development is possible. Your skill profile Solid education in software technologies Working knowledge in Python/Django and databases Our technical environment Python/Django, PostgreSQL, Celery …
  • Bayesian Relief

  • …  by Hubertus Hofkirchner -- Vienna, 20 Jul 2016 Concurrent with technological progress and increasing globalisation, the world is moving faster and faster. Decision makers in companies …
  • WARNING: Beware of Pretend Predictive Market Providers

  • …  technology. Genuine prediction markets are virtual stock exchanges where (1) participants truly buy and sell shares using virtual money and where (2) rewards depend on good predictive performance. Fake …
  • The Dangerous Path from Fake News

  • …  by Hubertus Hofkirchner -- Vienna, 21 Dec 2016 The right answer to the fake news crisis cannot be more regulation or government censorship. We need new technology for social fact checking …
  • Prediction Markets: A Better Alternative

  • …  markets. Political stock markets have been known to produce significantly better quantitative predictions compared to telephone and online surveys. Innovative prediction market technology can now also …
  • Announcements from Beta phase

  • …  technology can unveil information about the future where traditional market research and opinion survey instruments have proven unreliable or inapplicable,” said Hubertus Hofkirchner, CEO of Prediki. “We …
  • Market Research Associate (Native English, Remote Position)

  • …  with big opportunities for high potentials State-of-the-art, highly accurate research technology Method training in prediction markets and predictive communities Global projects in highly diverse industries …
  • Can And Should Sports Outcomes Be Predicted

  • …  on hypothetical strategies, such as potential new service offerings, new league formats, game rule changes, player purchases, stadium construction, expansion or refurbishment, new technology adoption, etc …
  • Big Data Promises Solid Growth for Market Research Industry

  • …  years, their capability in information technology will be a key strategic weapon to achieve higher automation and maintain future competitiveness. New technologies Consistent with the message of several …
  • Project Management by Predictions - A First Experiment

  • …  by Hubertus Hofkirchner -- Vienna, 04 Oct 2013 As information technology is becoming more and more strategic in the age of the internet, companies are increasingly impacted by their ability …
  • A New Perspective on Survey Distortions

  • …  functioning political leadership as well as a more satisfied and involved electorate. It is high time that governments start using today’s predictive technology instead of repeating old (survey) mistakes …
  • Futurist's Tools: Prediction Markets vs. Delphi Method

  • … . It is not just that I side with the technology because this is Prediki here, I really cannot see any redeeming argument for Delphi anymore – other than where PCs, laptops or tablets are unavailable. But hey …
  • Управление путем прогнозов

  • …  be more regulation or government censorship. We need new technology for social fact checking and better tools for public debate. Read more... WARNING: Beware of Pretend Predictive Market Providers Vienna …
  • How Great Leaders Look into the Future

  • …  course and the further out it needs to look into its future. They need the best possible predictions to questions like: What scientific break-thoughs and technological advances will impact us? Which global …
  • Futility A New Antidote Against Response Fraud

  • …  survey with a target sample size of n=500. Of course, panel supplier rules and technology are designed to ensure that a respondent cannot participate twice in the same survey. In this particular project …
  • Qualitative analysis

  • …  a market researcher? Next-generation prediction market technology is especially recommended for urgent and complex projects where traditional methods often fail to deliver. Please feel free to contact us …
  • The Curious Case of 100 / 2 = 68

  • … % for tails. Now that looks more like a coin. Now, you may say, that’s an easy exercise. But experiments devised by Prof. Charles Plott of the California Institute of Technology have generated ample evidence …
  • Is Augur Really a Prediction Market?

  • … , technologies or new products, competitive threats, or simply performance forecasts. The client happily pays the prediction market for this quantitative and qualitative information which in turn pays participants …
  • Renewed Controversy About Election Polls

  • …  on prediction accuracy, not on a minimum process standard for one single traditional research method. Methods are contingent on the state of technology, they can quickly become obsolete considering the increasing …
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